STX
Seagate Technology
$788.37
▼ 7.6%Updated Aug 7, 11:30 AM ET
STX at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Neutral · 57/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▲ Up 715.1% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$183.90B
P/E
73.43x
Forward P/E (est.)
52.45x
ROE
172.6%
Revenue Growth
28.9%
EPS Growth
53.8%
Profit Margin
21.6%
FCF Yield
-0.1%
Debt / Equity
51.8x
ROIC
73.0%
Interest Coverage
5.69x
Current Ratio
1.33x
Dividend Yield
0.3%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
8.5%
Rating Score
57/100
Seagate Technology (STX) is a large-cap company in the Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals industry, part of the Information Technology sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $183.90B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $9.10B in revenue and $1.47B in net profit.
Our model rates STX Neutral (57/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (9 years of history).
The numbers don't show a durable competitive advantage — margins, growth, or returns on capital have been unstable or thin. Great returns are still possible; they just aren't protected.
7.7% average over the last 3 years
±6.9 pts around 11.7% across 9 years
grew in 5 of the last 8 year-over-year periods
positive in 9 of 9 years
73.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what STX's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. STX trades near $788.37, around its 50-day average ($840.19) and 200-day average ($456.81). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 47 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. STX's is $93.54 (~11.9% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month STX found buyers near $795.66 (support) and sellers near $1,145.00 (resistance); its 52-week range is $138.30–$1,145.00. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 1.3× the 20-day average — heavier than usual, which adds conviction to the move. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
-3.9%
Revenue moved from $10.77B in 2017 to $9.10B in 2025, a -2.1% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a strong 28.9% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.
Gross Margin
41.6%
Operating Margin
20.8%
Net Margin
16.1%
ROE
172.6%
Seagate Technology keeps about 21.6% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 41.6% gross margin and 20.8% operating margin. Return on equity is 172.6% and return on invested capital about 73.0%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.
Total Debt
$964.00M
Net Debt
-$182.00M
Net cash position
Net Debt / EBITDA
-0.1x
Debt / Equity
51.8x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 51.8x, and operating profit covers interest about 5.7x, with a current ratio of 1.3x. That is elevated leverage, which raises risk if earnings or rates move against it. It carries roughly $964.00M of total debt against $1.15B of cash.
Operating CF
$1.08B
Free Cash Flow
$818.00M
FCF Margin
9.0%
In the latest year Seagate Technology produced about $1.08B of operating cash flow and $818.00M of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about -0.1% on today's price. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
Coverage is weak, the payout was cut recently, or it's being financed rather than earned — treat the current yield as fragile.
Dividend yield
0.3%
Per share (latest FY)
$2.86
Total paid (latest FY)
$600.00M
History on record
9 years
dividend uses 73% of free cash flow
41% of net income paid out
total dividends increased 2 years in a row
payout was cut at least once in the last 9 years
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
P/E
73.43x
P/S
25.11x
P/B
—
EV / EBITDA
—
STX trades at 73.4x trailing earnings (about 52.5x on estimated forward earnings), 25.1x sales. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 8.5% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a rich multiple that prices in a lot of future growth.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$151.07
Current price
$788.37
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$818.00M
Growth, years 1–5
20.0%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where STX sits versus its Information Technology sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 98 Information Technology companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How STX stacks up against its Information Technology peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Information Technology sector (230 S&P 500 companies), STX ranks #53 of 230 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (73.4x P/E vs. 38.9x median) with a higher return on equity (172.6% vs. 17.5%) and faster revenue growth (28.9% vs. 17.7%).
P/E vs sector
73.4x
median 38.9x
ROE vs sector
172.6%
median 17.5%
Growth vs sector
28.9%
median 17.7%
Sector rank
#53
of 230 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Information Technology companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 230 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $788.37 today · expected CAGR 4% – 16%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $11.74B | $15.14B | $19.53B | $25.19B | $32.50B |
| Net income | $1.88B | $2.42B | $3.12B | $4.03B | $5.20B |
| EPS | $8.05 | $10.38 | $13.39 | $17.28 | $22.29 |
| Share price (low) | $354.16 | $456.87 | $589.36 | $760.27 | $980.75 |
| Share price (high) | $587.58 | $757.98 | $977.80 | $1,261.36 | $1,627.16 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -55% / -25% | -24% / -2% | -9% / 7% | -1% / 12% | 4% / 16% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for STX:
- Revenue is growing 28.9% a year, a sign of real demand.
- High net margins (21.6%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
- Strong return on equity (172.6%) shows capital is put to work well.
The case against STX:
- Elevated leverage (debt/equity 51.8x) adds financial risk.
- A rich 73.4x earnings multiple prices in a lot of growth.
- Limited free cash flow at today's price.
Valuation risk — at 73.4x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.
Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 51.8x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: Seagate Technology is a large-cap information technology business still growing nicely, with solid profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 73.4x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (57/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 30 Wall Street analysts covering STX recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Latest SEC Filings
STX's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
In the Idea Lab
STX — frequently asked questions
Is STX a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Seagate Technology Neutral (57/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is STX's rating on The Stocks School?
Seagate Technology currently scores 57/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does STX's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Seagate Technology's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for STX calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this STX analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell STX. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.