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TJX

S&P 500
Favorable · 58/100

TJX Companies

Consumer Discretionary
Apparel Retail
Earnings Aug 19

$161.75

0.2%

Updated Aug 7, 11:30 AM ET

Report Card

TJX at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.

Value
0
Growth
0
Profitability
0
Health
0
Dividends
0

Overall: Favorable · 58/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.

Price — Past Year

▲ Up 33.7% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageDCF fair value ±15%Source: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$170.41B

P/E

30.92x

Forward P/E (est.)

25.48x

ROE

59.7%

Revenue Growth

8.1%

EPS Growth

21.3%

Profit Margin

9.4%

FCF Yield

2.6%

Debt / Equity

0.28x

ROIC

31.0%

Interest Coverage

60.29x

Current Ratio

1.14x

Dividend Yield

1.1%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

5.9%

Rating Score

58/100

Business Overview
Research

TJX Companies (TJX) is a large-cap company in the Apparel Retail industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $170.41B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $60.37B in revenue and $5.49B in net profit.

Our model rates TJX Favorable (58/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Economic Moat

Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).

Wide moat signalsMoat evidence score: 95/100

The filed history looks like a business competitors struggle to attack: high and steady margins, revenue that grows through cycles, and strong returns on capital.

Revenue durability89/100

grew in 8 of the last 9 year-over-year periods

Free-cash-flow consistency100/100

positive in 10 of 10 years

Return on invested capital100/100

31.0% latest fiscal year

A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what TJX's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. TJX trades near $161.75, above its 50-day average ($157.21) and 200-day average ($153.13). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 20 it is oversold — selling has been heavy and a bounce is possible.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. TJX's is $3.92 (~2.4% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month TJX found buyers near $149.61 (support) and sellers near $170.00 (resistance); its 52-week range is $119.84–$170.00. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 0.8× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

5.6%

3/4 checks passedRevenue growingRevenue growth beats sector midpointEPS growingEPS growing faster than revenue

Revenue moved from $33.18B in 2017 to $60.37B in 2026, a 6.9% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a steady 8.1% year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.

Profitability
Research
4/4 checks passedProfitableNet margin above sector midpointROE above 12%ROIC above 10%

Gross Margin

31.4%

Operating Margin

12.3%

Net Margin

9.1%

ROE

59.7%

TJX Companies keeps about 9.4% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 31.4% gross margin and 12.3% operating margin. Return on equity is 59.7% and return on invested capital about 31.0%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.

Debt Analysis
Research
4/4 checks passedDebt under 1× equityDebt under 2× equityInterest covered 3×+Short-term bills covered

Total Debt

$2.87B

Net Debt

-$2.71B

Net cash position

Net Debt / EBITDA

Debt / Equity

0.28x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.3x, and operating profit covers interest about 60.3x, with a current ratio of 1.1x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $2.87B of total debt against $5.58B of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research
3/3 checks passedPositive free cash flowFCF yield above 2%Market expects achievable growth (<8%)

Operating CF

$6.87B

Free Cash Flow

$4.92B

FCF Margin

8.1%

In the latest year TJX Companies produced about $6.87B of operating cash flow and $4.92B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 2.6% on today's price. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.

Dividend Safety

Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.

SafeSafety score: 74/100

The payout is comfortably covered by cash the business actually generates, with a raise habit behind it.

Dividend yield

1.1%

Per share (latest FY)

$1.70

Total paid (latest FY)

$1.84B

History on record

10 years

Free-cash-flow coverage100/100

dividend uses 37% of free cash flow

Earnings payout ratio100/100

34% of net income paid out

Raise streak63/100

total dividends increased 5 years in a row

Cut history0/100

payout was cut at least once in the last 10 years

Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.

Valuation Analysis
Research
3/4 checks passedPositive earnings (P/E meaningful)P/E below sector's upper bandForward P/E below trailing (earnings growing)Trading below DCF fair value

P/E

30.92x

P/S

3.05x

P/B

15.92x

EV / EBITDA

TJX trades at 30.9x trailing earnings (about 25.5x on estimated forward earnings), 3.0x sales, and 15.9x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 5.9% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a premium multiple that needs growth to justify it.

DCF Fair Value (Educational)

A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.

DCF fair value / share

$96.02

Current price

$161.75

-41% · Above fair-value estimate

Starting FCF (latest 10-K)

$4.92B

Growth, years 1–5

8.1%

Fade to terminal, years 6–10

2.5%

Discount rate

9.0%

PV of 10-yr free cash flow$45.32B
PV of terminal value$60.75B
Estimated equity value$106.07B
Shares outstanding1.1B

Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.

Metrics vs. Sector Range

Where TJX sits versus its Consumer Discretionary sector peers in the S&P 500.

TTM P/E
30.9xFair
Forward P/E
25.5xFair
P/S ratio
3.0xFair
Revenue growth
8.1%Average
EPS growth
21.3%Average
Gross margin
31.4%Average
Net margin
9.4%Average
ROE
59.7%Strong

Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 85 Consumer Discretionary companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How TJX stacks up against its Consumer Discretionary peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector (158 S&P 500 companies), TJX ranks #24 of 158 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (30.9x P/E vs. 25.8x median) with a higher return on equity (59.7% vs. 26.2%) and faster revenue growth (8.1% vs. 6.8%).

P/E vs sector

30.9x

median 25.8x

ROE vs sector

59.7%

median 26.2%

Growth vs sector

8.1%

median 6.8%

Sector rank

#24

of 158 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
TJXThis stock30.9x8.1%Favorable· 58
ROST35.3x11.9%Favorable· 59
MCD22.5x6.8%Favorable· 64
TM7.8x5.5%Weak· 37
BKNG27x14.9%Favorable· 62
LOW18.7x6.2%Neutral· 50
BABA19.4x2.7%Neutral· 51
SBUX80.2x5.8%Weak· 29
Consumer Discretionary median25.8x6.8%24/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianROSTMCDTMBKNGLOWBABASBUXTJXP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Consumer Discretionary companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 158 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$0.00 $0.00

vs. $161.75 today · expected CAGR -2%8%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$65.20B$70.42B$76.05B$82.14B$88.71B
Net income$5.87B$6.34B$6.84B$7.39B$7.98B
EPS$5.57$6.02$6.50$7.02$7.58
Share price (low)$105.83$114.29$123.44$133.31$143.98
Share price (high)$172.67$186.48$201.40$217.51$234.91
CAGR (low–high)-35% / 7%-16% / 7%-9% / 8%-5% / 8%-2% / 8%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for TJX:

  • Strong return on equity (59.7%) shows capital is put to work well.
  • A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.3x) lowers risk.
  • Our model's overall read is Favorable (58/100).
Bear Case

The case against TJX:

  • Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Key Risks
Research

Valuation risk — at 30.9x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: TJX Companies is a large-cap consumer discretionary business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 30.9x earnings, which our model scores Favorable (58/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Analyst Ratings

What 26 Wall Street analysts covering TJX recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.

Buy
consensus · score 4.2 / 5 across 26 analysts
Strong Buy 11Buy 11Hold 3Sell 1Strong Sell 0

Latest SEC Filings

TJX's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.

In the Idea Lab

TJX — frequently asked questions

Is TJX a good stock to buy?

We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates TJX Companies Favorable (58/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.

What is TJX's rating on The Stocks School?

TJX Companies currently scores 58/100 (Favorable) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.

How our ratings work
Where does TJX's data come from?

Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from TJX Companies's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.

How is the 5-year projection for TJX calculated?

It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.

Is this TJX analysis financial advice?

No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell TJX. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.