VST
Vistra Corp.
$162.39
▼ 2.9%Updated Today 5:06 AM ET
▼ Down 9.6% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$53.48B
P/E
22.8x
Forward P/E (est.)
24.1x
ROE
43.3%
Revenue Growth
15.7%
EPS Growth
-5.4%
Profit Margin
12.2%
FCF Yield
5.3%
Debt / Equity
4.1x
ROIC
6.0%
Interest Coverage
2.58x
Current Ratio
0.9x
Dividend Yield
0.6%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
6.4%
Rating Score
55/100
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what VST's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. VST trades near $162.39, around its 50-day average ($154.60) and 200-day average ($170.04). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 54 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. VST's is $6.90 (~4.2% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month VST found buyers near $137.91 (support) and sellers near $170.50 (resistance); its 52-week range is $132.66–$219.82. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.8× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
Vistra Corp. (VST) is a large-cap company in the Electric Utilities industry, part of the Utilities sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $53.48B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $17.59B in revenue and $944.00M in net profit.
Our model rates VST Neutral (55/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
4Y CAGR
-0.2%
Revenue moved from $17.70B in 2021 to $17.59B in 2025, a -0.2% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a strong 15.7% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.
Gross Margin
8.7%
Operating Margin
10.8%
Net Margin
5.4%
ROE
43.3%
Vistra Corp. keeps about 12.2% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 8.7% gross margin and 10.8% operating margin. Return on equity is 43.3% and return on invested capital about 6.0%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.
Total Debt
$19.16B
Net Debt
$18.53B
Net Debt / EBITDA
9.72x
Debt / Equity
4.1x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 4.1x, and operating profit covers interest about 2.6x, with a current ratio of 0.9x. That is elevated leverage, which raises risk if earnings or rates move against it. It carries roughly $19.16B of total debt against $634.00M of cash.
Operating CF
$4.07B
Free Cash Flow
$1.32B
FCF Margin
7.5%
In the latest year Vistra Corp. produced about $4.07B of operating cash flow and $1.32B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 5.3% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
P/E
22.8x
P/S
2.84x
P/B
10.98x
EV / EBITDA
18.64x
VST trades at 22.8x trailing earnings (about 24.1x on estimated forward earnings), 2.8x sales, and 11.0x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 6.4% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.
Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.
Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.
How VST stacks up against its Utilities peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Utilities sector (31 S&P 500 companies), VST ranks #15 of 31 by our overall rating. It trades at roughly in line versus the sector on earnings (22.8x P/E vs. 22.2x median) with a higher return on equity (43.3% vs. 10.4%) and faster revenue growth (15.7% vs. 9.0%).
P/E vs sector
22.8x
median 22.2x
ROE vs sector
43.3%
median 10.4%
Growth vs sector
15.7%
median 9.0%
Sector rank
#15
of 31 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Utilities companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 31 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$76.68 – $125.98
vs. $162.39 today · expected CAGR -14% – -5%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $20.40B | $23.66B | $27.45B | $31.84B | $36.94B |
| Net income | $1.02B | $1.18B | $1.37B | $1.59B | $1.85B |
| EPS | $3.03 | $3.51 | $4.07 | $4.72 | $5.48 |
| Share price (low) | $42.35 | $49.13 | $56.99 | $66.10 | $76.68 |
| Share price (high) | $69.58 | $80.71 | $93.62 | $108.60 | $125.98 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -74% / -57% | -45% / -30% | -29% / -17% | -20% / -10% | -14% / -5% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for VST:
- Revenue is growing 15.7% a year, a sign of real demand.
- Strong return on equity (43.3%) shows capital is put to work well.
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~5.3%) funds buybacks and dividends.
The case against VST:
- Elevated leverage (debt/equity 4.1x) adds financial risk.
- Interest coverage is thin (2.6x), so debt costs bite.
Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 4.1x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: Vistra Corp. is a large-cap utilities business still growing nicely, with solid profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 22.8x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (55/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
VST — frequently asked questions
Is VST a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Vistra Corp. Neutral (55/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is VST's rating on The Stocks School?
Vistra Corp. currently scores 55/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does VST's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Vistra Corp.'s SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for VST calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this VST analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell VST. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.