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CEG

S&P 500
Favorable · 71/100

Constellation Energy

Utilities
Electric Utilities

$267.83

2.6%

Updated Today 11:30 AM ET

Report Card

CEG at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.

Value
0
Growth
0
Profitability
0
Health
0
Dividends
0

Overall: Favorable · 71/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.

Price — Past Year

▼ Down 10.6% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageDCF fair value ±15%Source: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$85.92B

P/E

24.98x

Forward P/E (est.)

20.57x

ROE

20.0%

Revenue Growth

23.4%

EPS Growth

21.4%

Profit Margin

12.7%

FCF Yield

4.3%

Debt / Equity

0.62x

ROIC

6.0%

Interest Coverage

7.16x

Current Ratio

1.36x

Dividend Yield

0.7%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

7.4%

Rating Score

71/100

Business Overview
Research

Constellation Energy (CEG) is a large-cap company in the Electric Utilities industry, part of the Utilities sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $85.92B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $25.53B in revenue and $2.32B in net profit.

Our model rates CEG Favorable (71/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Economic Moat

Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (6 years of history).

No moat evidenceMoat evidence score: 26/100

The numbers don't show a durable competitive advantage — margins, growth, or returns on capital have been unstable or thin. Great returns are still possible; they just aren't protected.

Operating margin level16/100

12.3% average over the last 3 years

Operating margin stability13/100

±6.9 pts around 6.5% across 6 years

Revenue durability73/100

grew in 4 of the last 5 year-over-year periods

Free-cash-flow consistency0/100

positive in 1 of 6 years

Return on invested capital5/100

6.0% latest fiscal year

A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what CEG's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. CEG trades near $267.83, below its 50-day average ($278.83) and 200-day average ($316.88). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 45 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. CEG's is $10.42 (~3.9% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month CEG found buyers near $228.63 (support) and sellers near $282.77 (resistance); its 52-week range is $228.63–$412.70. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 1.0× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

6.8%

3/4 checks passedRevenue growingRevenue growth beats sector midpointEPS growingEPS growing faster than revenue

Revenue moved from $17.60B in 2020 to $25.53B in 2025, a 7.7% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a strong 23.4% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.

Profitability
Research
2/4 checks passedProfitableNet margin above sector midpointROE above 12%ROIC above 10%

Gross Margin

44.3%

Operating Margin

12.1%

Net Margin

9.1%

ROE

20.0%

Constellation Energy keeps about 12.7% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 44.3% gross margin and 12.1% operating margin. Return on equity is 20.0% and return on invested capital about 6.0%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.

Debt Analysis
Research
4/4 checks passedDebt under 1× equityDebt under 2× equityInterest covered 3×+Short-term bills covered

Total Debt

$7.40B

Net Debt

$6.60B

Net Debt / EBITDA

2.14x

Debt / Equity

0.62x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.6x, and operating profit covers interest about 7.2x, with a current ratio of 1.4x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $7.40B of total debt against $800.00M of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research
3/3 checks passedPositive free cash flowFCF yield above 2%Market expects achievable growth (<8%)

Operating CF

$4.24B

Free Cash Flow

$1.29B

FCF Margin

5.0%

In the latest year Constellation Energy produced about $4.24B of operating cash flow and $1.29B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 4.3% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.

Dividend Safety

Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.

SafeSafety score: 81/100

The payout is comfortably covered by cash the business actually generates, with a raise habit behind it.

Dividend yield

0.7%

Per share (latest FY)

$0.39

Total paid (latest FY)

$486.00M

History on record

4 years

Free-cash-flow coverage100/100

dividend uses 38% of free cash flow

Earnings payout ratio100/100

21% of net income paid out

Raise streak38/100

total dividends increased 3 years in a row

Cut history100/100

no cuts in the last 4 years on record

Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.

Valuation Analysis
Research
2/4 checks passedPositive earnings (P/E meaningful)P/E below sector's upper bandForward P/E below trailing (earnings growing)Trading below DCF fair value

P/E

24.98x

P/S

3.71x

P/B

7.59x

EV / EBITDA

CEG trades at 25.0x trailing earnings (about 20.6x on estimated forward earnings), 3.7x sales, and 7.6x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 7.4% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.

DCF Fair Value (Educational)

A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.

DCF fair value / share

$147.67

Current price

$267.83

-45% · Above fair-value estimate

Starting FCF (latest 10-K)

$1.29B

Growth, years 1–5

20.0%

Fade to terminal, years 6–10

2.5%

Discount rate

9.0%

PV of 10-yr free cash flow$19.90B
PV of terminal value$33.44B
Estimated equity value$53.34B
Shares outstanding361M

Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.

Metrics vs. Sector Range

Where CEG sits versus its Utilities sector peers in the S&P 500.

TTM P/E
25.0xExpensive
Forward P/E
20.6xFair
P/S ratio
3.7xFair
Revenue growth
23.4%Strong
EPS growth
21.4%Strong
Gross margin
44.3%Strong
Net margin
12.7%Average
ROE
20.0%Strong

Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 38 Utilities companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How CEG stacks up against its Utilities peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Utilities sector (47 S&P 500 companies), CEG ranks #1 of 47 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (25x P/E vs. 21.3x median) with a higher return on equity (20.0% vs. 10.3%) and faster revenue growth (23.4% vs. 8.8%).

P/E vs sector

25x

median 21.3x

ROE vs sector

20.0%

median 10.3%

Growth vs sector

23.4%

median 8.8%

Sector rank

#1

of 47 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
CEGThis stock25x23.4%Favorable· 71
AEP18.7x11.4%Favorable· 64
DUK19x7.2%Neutral· 53
SO24.1x8.7%Neutral· 48
VST22.3x15.7%Neutral· 55
ETR27.5x11.5%Neutral· 43
EXC16.7x4.6%Neutral· 47
PEG16.7x19.0%Favorable· 69
Utilities median21.3x8.8%50/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianAEPDUKSOVSTETREXCPEGCEGP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Utilities companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 47 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$0.00 $0.00

vs. $267.83 today · expected CAGR 2%13%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$31.41B$38.63B$47.51B$58.44B$71.88B
Net income$2.83B$3.48B$4.28B$5.26B$6.47B
EPS$8.81$10.84$13.33$16.40$20.17
Share price (low)$132.17$162.57$199.96$245.95$302.52
Share price (high)$220.28$270.95$333.26$409.92$504.20
CAGR (low–high)-51% / -18%-22% / 1%-9% / 8%-2% / 11%2% / 13%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for CEG:

  • Revenue is growing 23.4% a year, a sign of real demand.
  • Strong return on equity (20.0%) shows capital is put to work well.
  • Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~4.3%) funds buybacks and dividends.
  • Our model's overall read is Favorable (71/100).
Bear Case

The case against CEG:

  • Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Key Risks
Research

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the fundamentals screen favourably: Constellation Energy is a large-cap utilities business still growing nicely, with solid profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 25.0x earnings, which our model scores Favorable (71/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Analyst Ratings

What 29 Wall Street analysts covering CEG recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.

Buy
consensus · score 4.0 / 5 across 29 analysts
Strong Buy 5Buy 19Hold 5Sell 0Strong Sell 0

Latest SEC Filings

CEG's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.

In the Idea Lab

CEG — frequently asked questions

Is CEG a good stock to buy?

We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Constellation Energy Favorable (71/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.

What is CEG's rating on The Stocks School?

Constellation Energy currently scores 71/100 (Favorable) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.

How our ratings work
Where does CEG's data come from?

Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Constellation Energy's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.

How is the 5-year projection for CEG calculated?

It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.

Is this CEG analysis financial advice?

No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell CEG. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.