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WYNN

S&P 500
Weak · 26/100

Wynn Resorts

Consumer Discretionary
Casinos & Gaming

$101.29

0.2%

Updated Aug 7, 11:30 AM ET

Report Card

WYNN at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.

Value
0
Growth
0
Profitability
0
Health
0
Dividends
0

Overall: Weak · 26/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.

Price — Past Year

▲ Up 21.4% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageDCF fair value ±15%Source: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$10.76B

P/E

27.7x

Forward P/E (est.)

30.3x

ROE

-244.7%

Revenue Growth

4.7%

EPS Growth

-8.6%

Profit Margin

5.1%

FCF Yield

5.6%

Debt / Equity

5.98x

ROIC

9.0%

Interest Coverage

1.49x

Current Ratio

1.24x

Dividend Yield

1.0%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

2.4%

Rating Score

26/100

Business Overview
Research

Wynn Resorts (WYNN) is a large-cap company in the Casinos & Gaming industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $10.76B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $7.14B in revenue and $327.33M in net profit.

Our model rates WYNN Weak (26/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Economic Moat

Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (9 years of history).

No moat evidenceMoat evidence score: 20/100

The numbers don't show a durable competitive advantage — margins, growth, or returns on capital have been unstable or thin. Great returns are still possible; they just aren't protected.

Operating margin level25/100

14.8% average over the last 3 years

Operating margin stability0/100

±23.1 pts around 1.6% across 9 years

Revenue durability41/100

grew in 5 of the last 8 year-over-year periods

Free-cash-flow consistency0/100

positive in 4 of 9 years

Return on invested capital20/100

9.0% latest fiscal year

A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what WYNN's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. WYNN trades near $101.29, below its 50-day average ($102.34) and 200-day average ($112.87). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 22 it is oversold — selling has been heavy and a bounce is possible.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. WYNN's is $3.48 (~3.4% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month WYNN found buyers near $94.82 (support) and sellers near $111.29 (resistance); its 52-week range is $93.45–$134.72. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 1.2× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

17.4%

1/4 checks passedRevenue growingRevenue growth beats sector midpointEPS growingEPS growing faster than revenue

Revenue moved from $6.07B in 2017 to $7.14B in 2025, a 2.0% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly flat (4.7%) year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.

Profitability
Research
1/4 checks passedProfitableNet margin above sector midpointROE above 12%ROIC above 10%

Gross Margin

40.9%

Operating Margin

15.7%

Net Margin

4.6%

ROE

-244.7%

Wynn Resorts keeps about 5.1% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 40.9% gross margin and 15.7% operating margin. Return on equity is -244.7% and return on invested capital about 9.0%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.

Debt Analysis
Research
1/4 checks passedDebt under 1× equityDebt under 2× equityInterest covered 3×+Short-term bills covered

Total Debt

$10.52B

Net Debt

$9.34B

Net Debt / EBITDA

8.35x

Debt / Equity

5.98x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 6.0x, and operating profit covers interest about 1.5x, with a current ratio of 1.2x. That is elevated leverage, which raises risk if earnings or rates move against it. It carries roughly $10.52B of total debt against $1.19B of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research
3/3 checks passedPositive free cash flowFCF yield above 2%Market expects achievable growth (<8%)

Operating CF

$1.35B

Free Cash Flow

$692.22M

FCF Margin

9.7%

In the latest year Wynn Resorts produced about $1.35B of operating cash flow and $692.22M of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 5.6% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.

Dividend Safety

Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.

BorderlineSafety score: 62/100

The dividend is being paid, but coverage or consistency is thinner than an income investor should rely on without a closer look.

Dividend yield

1.0%

Per share (latest FY)

$3.75

Total paid (latest FY)

$174.66M

History on record

9 years

Free-cash-flow coverage100/100

dividend uses 25% of free cash flow

Earnings payout ratio76/100

53% of net income paid out

Raise streak38/100

total dividends increased 3 years in a row

Cut history0/100

payout was cut at least once in the last 9 years

Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.

Valuation Analysis
Research
3/4 checks passedPositive earnings (P/E meaningful)P/E below sector's upper bandForward P/E below trailing (earnings growing)Trading below DCF fair value

P/E

27.7x

P/S

1.54x

P/B

8.08x

EV / EBITDA

WYNN trades at 27.7x trailing earnings (about 30.3x on estimated forward earnings), 1.5x sales, and 8.1x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 2.4% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a premium multiple that needs growth to justify it.

DCF Fair Value (Educational)

A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.

DCF fair value / share

$119.27

Current price

$101.29

+18% · Below fair-value estimate

Starting FCF (latest 10-K)

$692.22M

Growth, years 1–5

4.7%

Fade to terminal, years 6–10

2.5%

Discount rate

9.0%

PV of 10-yr free cash flow$5.52B
PV of terminal value$6.86B
Estimated equity value$12.38B
Shares outstanding104M

Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.

Metrics vs. Sector Range

Where WYNN sits versus its Consumer Discretionary sector peers in the S&P 500.

TTM P/E
27.7xFair
Forward P/E
30.3xFair
P/S ratio
1.5xFair
Revenue growth
4.7%Average
EPS growth
-8.6%Average
Gross margin
40.9%Average
Net margin
5.1%Average
ROE
-244.7%Weak

Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 85 Consumer Discretionary companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How WYNN stacks up against its Consumer Discretionary peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector (158 S&P 500 companies), WYNN ranks #76 of 158 by our overall rating. It trades at roughly in line versus the sector on earnings (27.7x P/E vs. 25.8x median) with a lower return on equity (-244.7% vs. 26.2%) and slower revenue growth (4.7% vs. 6.8%).

P/E vs sector

27.7x

median 25.8x

ROE vs sector

-244.7%

median 26.2%

Growth vs sector

4.7%

median 6.8%

Sector rank

#76

of 158 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
WYNNThis stock27.7x4.7%Weak· 26
MGM62.4x3.4%Weak· 21
LVS16.5x22.7%Favorable· 70
SCI20.3x2.8%Neutral· 52
W6.8%Weak· 24
DPZ19.9x5.2%Neutral· 57
MUSA17.5x-1.3%Neutral· 48
GME13.2x1.6%Neutral· 57
Consumer Discretionary median25.8x6.8%24/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianMGMLVSSCIDPZMUSAGMEWYNNP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Consumer Discretionary companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 158 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$0.00 $0.00

vs. $101.29 today · expected CAGR -6%3%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$7.49B$7.87B$8.26B$8.68B$9.11B
Net income$374.74M$393.48M$413.15M$433.81M$455.50M
EPS$3.53$3.70$3.89$4.08$4.29
Share price (low)$59.97$62.97$66.12$69.43$72.90
Share price (high)$98.78$103.72$108.90$114.35$120.07
CAGR (low–high)-41% / -2%-21% / 1%-13% / 2%-9% / 3%-6% / 3%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for WYNN:

  • Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~5.6%) funds buybacks and dividends.
  • As an established S&P 500 member in Consumer Discretionary, it brings scale and a long operating history.
Bear Case

The case against WYNN:

  • Elevated leverage (debt/equity 6.0x) adds financial risk.
  • Interest coverage is thin (1.5x), so debt costs bite.
  • Our model's overall read is Weak (26/100).
Key Risks
Research

Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 6.0x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the fundamentals screen weakly: Wynn Resorts is a large-cap consumer discretionary business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 27.7x earnings, which our model scores Weak (26/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Analyst Ratings

What 28 Wall Street analysts covering WYNN recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.

Buy
consensus · score 4.2 / 5 across 28 analysts
Strong Buy 7Buy 20Hold 1Sell 0Strong Sell 0

Latest SEC Filings

WYNN's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.

WYNN — frequently asked questions

Is WYNN a good stock to buy?

We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Wynn Resorts Weak (26/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.

What is WYNN's rating on The Stocks School?

Wynn Resorts currently scores 26/100 (Weak) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.

How our ratings work
Where does WYNN's data come from?

Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Wynn Resorts's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.

How is the 5-year projection for WYNN calculated?

It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.

Is this WYNN analysis financial advice?

No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell WYNN. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.