ADM
Archer Daniels Midland
$76.29
▲ 1.6%Updated Today 6:01 PM ET
▲ Up 39.1% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$36.19B
P/E
33.35x
Forward P/E (est.)
42x
ROE
4.8%
Revenue Growth
-3.9%
EPS Growth
-20.6%
Profit Margin
1.3%
FCF Yield
11.7%
Debt / Equity
0.37x
ROIC
—
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
1.31x
Dividend Yield
2.6%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
-2.3%
Rating Score
33/100
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what ADM's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. ADM trades near $76.29, around its 50-day average ($76.45) and 200-day average ($66.78). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 37 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. ADM's is $2.39 (~3.1% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month ADM found buyers near $74.28 (support) and sellers near $85.37 (resistance); its 52-week range is $51.34–$85.37. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 2.3× the 20-day average — heavier than usual, which adds conviction to the move. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) is a large-cap company in the Agricultural Products & Services industry, part of the Consumer Staples sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $36.19B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $80.27B in revenue and $1.08B in net profit.
Our model rates ADM Weak (33/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
4Y CAGR
-1.5%
Revenue moved from $85.25B in 2021 to $80.27B in 2025, a -1.5% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year declined 3.9% year over year. Shrinking revenue is worth a closer look — is it cyclical or structural?
Gross Margin
6.3%
Operating Margin
1.0%
Net Margin
1.3%
ROE
4.8%
Archer Daniels Midland keeps about 1.3% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 6.3% gross margin and 1.0% operating margin. Return on equity is 4.8%. Thin margins leave less cushion if costs rise.
Total Debt
$7.61B
Net Debt
$7.02B
Net Debt / EBITDA
—
Debt / Equity
0.37x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.4x, with a current ratio of 1.3x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns. It carries roughly $7.61B of total debt against $591.00M of cash.
Operating CF
$5.45B
Free Cash Flow
$4.20B
FCF Margin
5.2%
In the latest year Archer Daniels Midland produced about $5.45B of operating cash flow and $4.20B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 11.7% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
P/E
33.35x
P/S
0.47x
P/B
1.17x
EV / EBITDA
—
ADM trades at 33.3x trailing earnings (about 42.0x on estimated forward earnings), 0.5x sales, and 1.2x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly -2.3% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a premium multiple that needs growth to justify it.
Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.
Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.
How ADM stacks up against its Consumer Staples peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Consumer Staples sector (36 S&P 500 companies), ADM ranks #30 of 36 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (33.3x P/E vs. 22.5x median) with a lower return on equity (4.8% vs. 20.2%) and slower revenue growth (-3.9% vs. 3.0%).
P/E vs sector
33.3x
median 22.5x
ROE vs sector
4.8%
median 20.2%
Growth vs sector
-3.9%
median 3.0%
Sector rank
#30
of 36 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Consumer Staples companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 36 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$115.85 – $191.14
vs. $76.29 today · expected CAGR 9% – 20%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $82.68B | $85.16B | $87.71B | $90.34B | $93.05B |
| Net income | $2.48B | $2.55B | $2.63B | $2.71B | $2.79B |
| EPS | $5.15 | $5.30 | $5.46 | $5.62 | $5.79 |
| Share price (low) | $102.93 | $106.01 | $109.20 | $112.47 | $115.85 |
| Share price (high) | $169.83 | $174.92 | $180.17 | $185.58 | $191.14 |
| CAGR (low–high) | 35% / 123% | 18% / 51% | 13% / 33% | 10% / 25% | 9% / 20% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for ADM:
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~11.7%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.4x) lowers risk.
- Pays a 2.6% dividend on top of any price gains.
The case against ADM:
- Revenue growth is slow/negative (-3.9%), limiting the upside engine.
- Thin net margins (1.3%) leave little room for error.
- Our model's overall read is Weak (33/100).
Valuation risk — at 33.3x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.
Growth risk — sluggish revenue (-3.9%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.
Margin risk — thin profitability (1.3%) is vulnerable to cost or pricing pressure.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen weakly: Archer Daniels Midland is a large-cap consumer staples business with shrinking revenue, with modest profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 33.3x earnings, which our model scores Weak (33/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.