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SYY

S&P 500
Neutral · 43/100

Sysco

Consumer Staples
Food Distributors

$83.55

0.9%

Updated Aug 7, 11:30 AM ET

Report Card

SYY at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.

Value
0
Growth
0
Profitability
0
Health
0
Dividends
0

Overall: Neutral · 43/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.

Price — Past Year

▲ Up 6.4% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageDCF fair value ±15%Source: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$40.56B

P/E

23.07x

Forward P/E (est.)

24.73x

ROE

81.9%

Revenue Growth

3.4%

EPS Growth

-6.7%

Profit Margin

2.1%

FCF Yield

6.4%

Debt / Equity

7.27x

ROIC

19.0%

Interest Coverage

24.03x

Current Ratio

1.33x

Dividend Yield

2.8%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

4.9%

Rating Score

43/100

Business Overview
Research

Sysco (SYY) is a large-cap company in the Food Distributors industry, part of the Consumer Staples sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $40.56B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $81.37B in revenue and $1.83B in net profit.

Our model rates SYY Neutral (43/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Economic Moat

Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (9 years of history).

Narrow moat signalsMoat evidence score: 61/100

Some durable-advantage evidence, but not across the board — dig into which ingredient is weak and whether it's cyclical or structural.

Gross margin level0/100

18.4% average over the last 3 years

Gross margin stability96/100

±0.4 pts around 18.6% across 9 years

Revenue durability64/100

grew in 6 of the last 8 year-over-year periods

Free-cash-flow consistency100/100

positive in 9 of 9 years

Return on invested capital70/100

19.0% latest fiscal year

A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what SYY's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. SYY trades near $83.55, above its 50-day average ($76.52) and 200-day average ($78.37). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 77 it is overbought — the recent rally is stretched and can cool off.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. SYY's is $1.53 (~1.8% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month SYY found buyers near $74.24 (support) and sellers near $84.87 (resistance); its 52-week range is $68.19–$91.85. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 1.0× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

12.2%

2/4 checks passedRevenue growingRevenue growth beats sector midpointEPS growingEPS growing faster than revenue

Revenue moved from $55.37B in 2017 to $81.37B in 2025, a 4.9% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly flat (3.4%) year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.

Profitability
Research
3/4 checks passedProfitableNet margin above sector midpointROE above 12%ROIC above 10%

Gross Margin

18.4%

Operating Margin

3.8%

Net Margin

2.2%

ROE

81.9%

Sysco keeps about 2.1% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 18.4% gross margin and 3.8% operating margin. Return on equity is 81.9% and return on invested capital about 19.0%. Thin margins leave less cushion if costs rise.

Debt Analysis
Research
2/4 checks passedDebt under 1× equityDebt under 2× equityInterest covered 3×+Short-term bills covered

Total Debt

$10.59B

Net Debt

$8.69B

Net Debt / EBITDA

2.81x

Debt / Equity

7.27x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 7.3x, and operating profit covers interest about 24.0x, with a current ratio of 1.3x. That is elevated leverage, which raises risk if earnings or rates move against it. It carries roughly $10.59B of total debt against $1.90B of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research
3/3 checks passedPositive free cash flowFCF yield above 2%Market expects achievable growth (<8%)

Operating CF

$2.51B

Free Cash Flow

$1.60B

FCF Margin

2.0%

In the latest year Sysco produced about $2.51B of operating cash flow and $1.60B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 6.4% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.

Dividend Safety

Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.

BorderlineSafety score: 52/100

The dividend is being paid, but coverage or consistency is thinner than an income investor should rely on without a closer look.

Dividend yield

2.8%

Per share (latest FY)

$2.07

Total paid (latest FY)

$1.00B

History on record

9 years

Free-cash-flow coverage63/100

dividend uses 62% of free cash flow

Earnings payout ratio73/100

55% of net income paid out

Raise streak0/100

no current raise streak

Cut history100/100

no cuts in the last 9 years on record

Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.

Valuation Analysis
Research
2/4 checks passedPositive earnings (P/E meaningful)P/E below sector's upper bandForward P/E below trailing (earnings growing)Trading below DCF fair value

P/E

23.07x

P/S

0.47x

P/B

20.79x

EV / EBITDA

SYY trades at 23.1x trailing earnings (about 24.7x on estimated forward earnings), 0.5x sales, and 20.8x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 4.9% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.

DCF Fair Value (Educational)

A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.

DCF fair value / share

$55.79

Current price

$83.55

-33% · Above fair-value estimate

Starting FCF (latest 10-K)

$1.60B

Growth, years 1–5

3.4%

Fade to terminal, years 6–10

2.5%

Discount rate

9.0%

PV of 10-yr free cash flow$12.10B
PV of terminal value$14.58B
Estimated equity value$26.68B
Shares outstanding478M

Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.

Metrics vs. Sector Range

Where SYY sits versus its Consumer Staples sector peers in the S&P 500.

TTM P/E
23.1xFair
Forward P/E
24.7xFair
P/S ratio
0.5xCheap
Revenue growth
3.4%Average
EPS growth
-6.7%Average
Gross margin
18.4%Weak
Net margin
2.1%Weak
ROE
81.9%Strong

Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 48 Consumer Staples companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How SYY stacks up against its Consumer Staples peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Consumer Staples sector (74 S&P 500 companies), SYY ranks #31 of 74 by our overall rating. It trades at roughly in line versus the sector on earnings (23.1x P/E vs. 22x median) with a higher return on equity (81.9% vs. 18.1%) and similar revenue growth (3.4% vs. 3.4%).

P/E vs sector

23.1x

median 22x

ROE vs sector

81.9%

median 18.1%

Growth vs sector

3.4%

median 3.4%

Sector rank

#31

of 74 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
SYYThis stock23.1x3.4%Neutral· 43
KMB17.1x-16.2%Neutral· 43
KVUE22.5x-0.1%Neutral· 55
DEO18.9x-2.0%Weak· 36
ADM34.1x-3.9%Weak· 33
HSY33.9x2.8%Weak· 41
KDP22x9.2%Neutral· 57
KR34x0.3%Weak· 27
Consumer Staples median22x3.4%38/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianKMBKVUEDEOADMHSYKDPKRSYYP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Consumer Staples companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 74 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$0.00 $0.00

vs. $83.55 today · expected CAGR -0%10%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$83.81B$86.33B$88.92B$91.58B$94.33B
Net income$2.51B$2.59B$2.67B$2.75B$2.83B
EPS$5.18$5.33$5.49$5.66$5.83
Share price (low)$72.50$74.68$76.92$79.23$81.60
Share price (high)$119.11$122.68$126.37$130.16$134.06
CAGR (low–high)-13% / 43%-5% / 21%-3% / 15%-1% / 12%-0% / 10%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for SYY:

  • Strong return on equity (81.9%) shows capital is put to work well.
  • Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~6.4%) funds buybacks and dividends.
  • Pays a 2.8% dividend on top of any price gains.
Bear Case

The case against SYY:

  • Thin net margins (2.1%) leave little room for error.
  • Elevated leverage (debt/equity 7.3x) adds financial risk.
Key Risks
Research

Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 7.3x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.

Margin risk — thin profitability (2.1%) is vulnerable to cost or pricing pressure.

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the picture is mixed: Sysco is a large-cap consumer staples business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 23.1x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (43/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Analyst Ratings

What 22 Wall Street analysts covering SYY recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.

Buy
consensus · score 3.6 / 5 across 22 analysts
Strong Buy 4Buy 7Hold 10Sell 1Strong Sell 0

Analysts have turned more cautious over the last three months (-7 pts of buy ratings).

Latest SEC Filings

SYY's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.

In the Idea Lab

SYY — frequently asked questions

Is SYY a good stock to buy?

We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Sysco Neutral (43/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.

What is SYY's rating on The Stocks School?

Sysco currently scores 43/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.

How our ratings work
Where does SYY's data come from?

Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Sysco's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.

How is the 5-year projection for SYY calculated?

It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.

Is this SYY analysis financial advice?

No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell SYY. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.