AMCR
Amcor
$47.64
▲ 1.2%Updated Aug 7, 11:30 AM ET
AMCR at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Neutral · 52/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▼ Down 9.2% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$20.81B
P/E
32.24x
Forward P/E (est.)
24.46x
ROE
5.8%
Revenue Growth
64.8%
EPS Growth
31.8%
Profit Margin
3.1%
FCF Yield
2.6%
Debt / Equity
1.2x
ROIC
5.0%
Interest Coverage
2.55x
Current Ratio
1.44x
Dividend Yield
6.3%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
4.9%
Rating Score
52/100
Amcor (AMCR) is a large-cap company in the Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials industry, part of the Materials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $20.81B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $15.01B in revenue and $511.00M in net profit.
Our model rates AMCR Neutral (52/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (8 years of history).
Some durable-advantage evidence, but not across the board — dig into which ingredient is weak and whether it's cyclical or structural.
19.1% average over the last 3 years
±0.8 pts around 19.7% across 8 years
grew in 6 of the last 7 year-over-year periods
positive in 8 of 8 years
5.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what AMCR's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. AMCR trades near $47.64, above its 50-day average ($39.54) and 200-day average ($41.68). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 82 it is overbought — the recent rally is stretched and can cool off.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. AMCR's is $1.17 (~2.5% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month AMCR found buyers near $37.46 (support) and sellers near $45.03 (resistance); its 52-week range is $36.25–$50.94. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 1.1× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
3.9%
Revenue moved from $9.32B in 2018 to $15.01B in 2025, a 7.0% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a strong 64.8% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.
Gross Margin
18.9%
Operating Margin
6.7%
Net Margin
3.4%
ROE
5.8%
Amcor keeps about 3.1% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 18.9% gross margin and 6.7% operating margin. Return on equity is 5.8% and return on invested capital about 5.0%. Thin margins leave less cushion if costs rise.
Total Debt
$5.31B
Net Debt
$3.73B
Net Debt / EBITDA
3.69x
Debt / Equity
1.2x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 1.2x, and operating profit covers interest about 2.5x, with a current ratio of 1.4x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $5.31B of total debt against $1.59B of cash.
Operating CF
$1.39B
Free Cash Flow
$810.00M
FCF Margin
5.4%
In the latest year Amcor produced about $1.39B of operating cash flow and $810.00M of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 2.6% on today's price. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
Coverage is weak, the payout was cut recently, or it's being financed rather than earned — treat the current yield as fragile.
Dividend yield
6.3%
Per share (latest FY)
$0.51
Total paid (latest FY)
$845.00M
History on record
8 years
dividend uses 104% of free cash flow
165% of net income paid out
total dividends increased 1 year in a row
no cuts in the last 8 years on record
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
P/E
32.24x
P/S
1.27x
P/B
2.08x
EV / EBITDA
—
AMCR trades at 32.2x trailing earnings (about 24.5x on estimated forward earnings), 1.3x sales, and 2.1x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 4.9% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a premium multiple that needs growth to justify it.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$72.55
Current price
$47.64
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$810.00M
Growth, years 1–5
20.0%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where AMCR sits versus its Materials sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 54 Materials companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How AMCR stacks up against its Materials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Materials sector (78 S&P 500 companies), AMCR ranks #33 of 78 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (32.2x P/E vs. 22.7x median) with a lower return on equity (5.8% vs. 16.1%) and faster revenue growth (64.8% vs. 7.9%).
P/E vs sector
32.2x
median 22.7x
ROE vs sector
5.8%
median 16.1%
Growth vs sector
64.8%
median 7.9%
Sector rank
#33
of 78 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Materials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 78 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $47.64 today · expected CAGR 21% – 35%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $21.76B | $31.56B | $45.76B | $66.35B | $96.20B |
| Net income | $652.89M | $946.69M | $1.37B | $1.99B | $2.89B |
| EPS | $1.49 | $2.17 | $3.14 | $4.56 | $6.61 |
| Share price (low) | $28.40 | $41.19 | $59.72 | $86.59 | $125.56 |
| Share price (high) | $47.84 | $69.37 | $100.58 | $145.84 | $211.47 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -40% / 0% | -7% / 21% | 8% / 28% | 16% / 32% | 21% / 35% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for AMCR:
- Revenue is growing 64.8% a year, a sign of real demand.
- Pays a 6.3% dividend on top of any price gains.
The case against AMCR:
- Thin net margins (3.1%) leave little room for error.
- Interest coverage is thin (2.5x), so debt costs bite.
Valuation risk — at 32.2x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.
Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 1.2x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.
Margin risk — thin profitability (3.1%) is vulnerable to cost or pricing pressure.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: Amcor is a large-cap materials business still growing nicely, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 32.2x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (52/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 19 Wall Street analysts covering AMCR recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Analysts have turned more cautious over the last three months (-3 pts of buy ratings).
Latest SEC Filings
AMCR's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
In the Idea Lab
AMCR — frequently asked questions
Is AMCR a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Amcor Neutral (52/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is AMCR's rating on The Stocks School?
Amcor currently scores 52/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does AMCR's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Amcor's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for AMCR calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this AMCR analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell AMCR. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.