SW
Smurfit Westrock
$45.39
▲ 2.7%Updated Today 7:15 PM ET
▲ Up 4.3% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$23.11B
P/E
61.45x
Forward P/E (est.)
87.78x
ROE
2.1%
Revenue Growth
-20.7%
EPS Growth
-52.2%
Profit Margin
1.2%
FCF Yield
—
Debt / Equity
0.75x
ROIC
4.0%
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
1.44x
Dividend Yield
4.1%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
3.6%
Rating Score
12/100
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what SW's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. SW trades near $45.39, above its 50-day average ($40.73) and 200-day average ($40.98). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 61 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. SW's is $1.85 (~4.1% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month SW found buyers near $36.22 (support) and sellers near $45.58 (resistance); its 52-week range is $32.73–$52.65. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 1.7× the 20-day average — heavier than usual, which adds conviction to the move. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
Smurfit Westrock (SW) is a large-cap company in the Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials industry, part of the Materials sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $23.11B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $31.18B in revenue and $699.00M in net profit.
Our model rates SW Weak (12/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
3Y CAGR
32.2%
Revenue moved from $13.51B in 2022 to $31.18B in 2025, a 32.2% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year declined 20.7% year over year. Shrinking revenue is worth a closer look — is it cyclical or structural?
Gross Margin
19.4%
Operating Margin
5.5%
Net Margin
2.2%
ROE
2.1%
Smurfit Westrock keeps about 1.2% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 19.4% gross margin and 5.5% operating margin. Return on equity is 2.1% and return on invested capital about 4.0%. Thin margins leave less cushion if costs rise.
Total Debt
$13.22B
Net Debt
$12.55B
Net Debt / EBITDA
7.3x
Debt / Equity
0.75x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.8x, with a current ratio of 1.4x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $13.22B of total debt against $674.00M of cash.
Operating CF
$3.39B
Free Cash Flow
$1.20B
FCF Margin
3.8%
In the latest year Smurfit Westrock produced about $3.39B of operating cash flow and $1.20B of free cash flow after capital spending. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
P/E
61.45x
P/S
0.75x
P/B
1.1x
EV / EBITDA
8.33x
SW trades at 61.4x trailing earnings (about 87.8x on estimated forward earnings), 0.7x sales, and 1.1x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 3.6% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a rich multiple that prices in a lot of future growth.
Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.
Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.
How SW stacks up against its Materials peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Materials sector (26 S&P 500 companies), SW ranks #26 of 26 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (61.4x P/E vs. 27.7x median) with a lower return on equity (2.1% vs. 14.1%) and slower revenue growth (-20.7% vs. 4.9%).
P/E vs sector
61.4x
median 27.7x
ROE vs sector
2.1%
median 14.1%
Growth vs sector
-20.7%
median 4.9%
Sector rank
#26
of 26 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Materials companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 26 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$76.50 – $126.12
vs. $45.39 today · expected CAGR 11% – 23%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $32.11B | $33.08B | $34.07B | $35.09B | $36.15B |
| Net income | $963.43M | $992.33M | $1.02B | $1.05B | $1.08B |
| EPS | $1.84 | $1.89 | $1.95 | $2.01 | $2.07 |
| Share price (low) | $67.97 | $70.01 | $72.11 | $74.27 | $76.50 |
| Share price (high) | $112.06 | $115.42 | $118.88 | $122.45 | $126.12 |
| CAGR (low–high) | 50% / 147% | 24% / 59% | 17% / 38% | 13% / 28% | 11% / 23% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for SW:
- Pays a 4.1% dividend on top of any price gains.
- As an established S&P 500 member in Materials, it brings scale and a long operating history.
The case against SW:
- Revenue growth is slow/negative (-20.7%), limiting the upside engine.
- Thin net margins (1.2%) leave little room for error.
- A rich 61.4x earnings multiple prices in a lot of growth.
- Our model's overall read is Weak (12/100).
Valuation risk — at 61.4x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.
Growth risk — sluggish revenue (-20.7%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.
Margin risk — thin profitability (1.2%) is vulnerable to cost or pricing pressure.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen weakly: Smurfit Westrock is a large-cap materials business with shrinking revenue, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 61.4x earnings, which our model scores Weak (12/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.