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DUK

S&P 500
Neutral · 53/100

Duke Energy

Utilities
Electric Utilities

$124.82

0.7%

Updated Aug 7, 11:30 AM ET

Report Card

DUK at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.

Value
0
Growth
0
Profitability
0
Health
0
Dividends
0

Overall: Neutral · 53/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.

Price — Past Year

▲ Up 8.1% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageSource: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$101.04B

P/E

19.04x

Forward P/E (est.)

17.75x

ROE

9.8%

Revenue Growth

7.2%

EPS Growth

7.3%

Profit Margin

15.5%

FCF Yield

10.0%

Debt / Equity

1.73x

ROIC

5.0%

Interest Coverage

2.37x

Current Ratio

0.66x

Dividend Yield

3.4%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

Rating Score

53/100

Business Overview
Research

Duke Energy (DUK) is a large-cap company in the Electric Utilities industry, part of the Utilities sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $101.04B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $31.74B in revenue and $4.97B in net profit.

Our model rates DUK Neutral (53/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Economic Moat

Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (8 years of history).

No moat evidenceMoat evidence score: 44/100

The numbers don't show a durable competitive advantage — margins, growth, or returns on capital have been unstable or thin. Great returns are still possible; they just aren't protected.

Operating margin level67/100

26.1% average over the last 3 years

Operating margin stability66/100

±2.7 pts around 23.1% across 8 years

Revenue durability57/100

grew in 5 of the last 7 year-over-year periods

Free-cash-flow consistency0/100

positive in 1 of 8 years

Return on invested capital0/100

5.0% latest fiscal year

A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what DUK's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. DUK trades near $124.82, around its 50-day average ($125.10) and 200-day average ($124.30). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 67 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. DUK's is $2.09 (~1.7% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month DUK found buyers near $120.10 (support) and sellers near $129.66 (resistance); its 52-week range is $113.90–$134.49. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 1.3× the 20-day average — heavier than usual, which adds conviction to the move. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

6.7%

3/4 checks passedRevenue growingRevenue growth beats sector midpointEPS growingEPS growing faster than revenue

Revenue moved from $23.76B in 2018 to $31.74B in 2025, a 4.2% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a steady 7.2% year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.

Profitability
Research
2/4 checks passedProfitableNet margin above sector midpointROE above 12%ROIC above 10%

Gross Margin

46.0%

Operating Margin

27.2%

Net Margin

15.7%

ROE

9.8%

Duke Energy keeps about 15.5% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 46.0% gross margin and 27.2% operating margin. Return on equity is 9.8% and return on invested capital about 5.0%. Margins this wide usually signal pricing power or a cost advantage.

Debt Analysis
Research
1/4 checks passedDebt under 1× equityDebt under 2× equityInterest covered 3×+Short-term bills covered

Total Debt

$87.21B

Net Debt

$85.07B

Net Debt / EBITDA

9.86x

Debt / Equity

1.73x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 1.7x, and operating profit covers interest about 2.4x, with a current ratio of 0.7x. That is elevated leverage, which raises risk if earnings or rates move against it. It carries roughly $87.21B of total debt against $2.14B of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research
2/2 checks passedPositive free cash flowFCF yield above 2%

Operating CF

$12.33B

Free Cash Flow

-$1.69B

FCF Margin

-5.3%

In the latest year Duke Energy produced about $12.33B of operating cash flow but negative free cash flow as it invested heavily. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 10.0% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.

Dividend Safety

Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.

At RiskSafety score: 41/100

Coverage is weak, the payout was cut recently, or it's being financed rather than earned — treat the current yield as fragile.

Dividend yield

3.4%

Per share (latest FY)

$4.22

Total paid (latest FY)

$3.18B

History on record

5 years

Free-cash-flow coverage0/100

free cash flow was negative in the latest year — the dividend is being financed

Earnings payout ratio56/100

64% of net income paid out

Raise streak50/100

total dividends increased 4 years in a row

Cut history100/100

no cuts in the last 5 years on record

Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.

Valuation Analysis
Research
3/3 checks passedPositive earnings (P/E meaningful)P/E below sector's upper bandForward P/E below trailing (earnings growing)

P/E

19.04x

P/S

3.07x

P/B

1.74x

EV / EBITDA

DUK trades at 19.0x trailing earnings (about 17.8x on estimated forward earnings), 3.1x sales, and 1.7x book value. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.

Metrics vs. Sector Range

Where DUK sits versus its Utilities sector peers in the S&P 500.

TTM P/E
19.0xFair
Forward P/E
17.8xFair
P/S ratio
3.1xFair
Revenue growth
7.2%Average
EPS growth
7.3%Average
Gross margin
46.0%Strong
Net margin
15.5%Average
ROE
9.8%Average

Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 38 Utilities companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How DUK stacks up against its Utilities peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Utilities sector (47 S&P 500 companies), DUK ranks #20 of 47 by our overall rating. It trades at roughly in line versus the sector on earnings (19x P/E vs. 21.3x median) with a lower return on equity (9.8% vs. 10.3%) and slower revenue growth (7.2% vs. 8.8%).

P/E vs sector

19x

median 21.3x

ROE vs sector

9.8%

median 10.3%

Growth vs sector

7.2%

median 8.8%

Sector rank

#20

of 47 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
DUKThis stock19x7.2%Neutral· 53
SO24.1x8.7%Neutral· 48
CEG25x23.4%Favorable· 71
AEP18.7x11.4%Favorable· 64
VST22.3x15.7%Neutral· 55
ETR27.5x11.5%Neutral· 43
EXC16.7x4.6%Neutral· 47
PEG16.7x19.0%Favorable· 69
Utilities median21.3x8.8%50/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianSOCEGAEPVSTETREXCPEGDUKP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Utilities companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 47 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$0.00 $0.00

vs. $124.82 today · expected CAGR -5%6%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$33.96B$36.34B$38.88B$41.61B$44.52B
Net income$5.43B$5.81B$6.22B$6.66B$7.12B
EPS$6.71$7.18$7.69$8.22$8.80
Share price (low)$73.85$79.02$84.55$90.46$96.80
Share price (high)$127.55$136.48$146.03$156.26$167.19
CAGR (low–high)-41% / 2%-20% / 5%-12% / 5%-8% / 6%-5% / 6%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for DUK:

  • High net margins (15.5%) point to pricing power or efficiency.
  • Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~10.0%) funds buybacks and dividends.
  • Pays a 3.4% dividend on top of any price gains.
Bear Case

The case against DUK:

  • Elevated leverage (debt/equity 1.7x) adds financial risk.
  • Interest coverage is thin (2.4x), so debt costs bite.
Key Risks
Research

Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 1.7x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the picture is mixed: Duke Energy is a large-cap utilities business growing at a mature pace, with solid profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 19.0x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (53/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Analyst Ratings

What 28 Wall Street analysts covering DUK recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.

Buy
consensus · score 3.6 / 5 across 28 analysts
Strong Buy 4Buy 11Hold 12Sell 1Strong Sell 0

Analysts have turned more positive over the last three months (+5 pts of buy ratings).

Latest SEC Filings

DUK's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.

In the Idea Lab

DUK — frequently asked questions

Is DUK a good stock to buy?

We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Duke Energy Neutral (53/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.

What is DUK's rating on The Stocks School?

Duke Energy currently scores 53/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.

How our ratings work
Where does DUK's data come from?

Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Duke Energy's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.

How is the 5-year projection for DUK calculated?

It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.

Is this DUK analysis financial advice?

No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell DUK. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.