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HD

S&P 500
Neutral · 45/100

Home Depot (The)

Consumer Discretionary
Home Improvement Retail

$326.62

2.3%

Updated Today 6:01 PM ET

Price — Past Year

▼ Down 3.7% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageSource: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$333.32B

P/E

23.75x

Forward P/E (est.)

24.86x

ROE

113.3%

Revenue Growth

2.2%

EPS Growth

-4.5%

Profit Margin

8.4%

FCF Yield

5.5%

Debt / Equity

4.35x

ROIC

26.0%

Interest Coverage

10.75x

Current Ratio

1.04x

Dividend Yield

2.8%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

5.0%

Rating Score

45/100

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what HD's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. HD trades near $326.62, around its 50-day average ($322.92) and 200-day average ($358.69). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 64 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. HD's is $8.61 (~2.6% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month HD found buyers near $304.38 (support) and sellers near $341.15 (resistance); its 52-week range is $289.10–$426.75. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 2.0× the 20-day average — heavier than usual, which adds conviction to the move. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Business Overview
Research

Home Depot (The) (HD) is a mega-cap company in the Home Improvement Retail industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $333.32B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $164.68B in revenue and $14.16B in net profit.

Our model rates HD Neutral (45/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

2.2%

Revenue moved from $151.16B in 2022 to $164.68B in 2026, a 2.2% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly flat (2.2%) year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.

Profitability
Research

Gross Margin

33.3%

Operating Margin

12.7%

Net Margin

8.6%

ROE

113.3%

Home Depot (The) keeps about 8.4% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 33.3% gross margin and 12.7% operating margin. Return on equity is 113.3% and return on invested capital about 26.0%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.

Debt Analysis
Research

Total Debt

$49.40B

Net Debt

$47.80B

Net Debt / EBITDA

2.29x

Debt / Equity

4.35x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 4.4x, and operating profit covers interest about 10.8x, with a current ratio of 1.0x. That is elevated leverage, which raises risk if earnings or rates move against it. It carries roughly $49.40B of total debt against $1.60B of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research

Operating CF

$16.32B

Free Cash Flow

$12.65B

FCF Margin

7.7%

In the latest year Home Depot (The) produced about $16.32B of operating cash flow and $12.65B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 5.5% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.

Valuation Analysis
Research

P/E

23.75x

P/S

2.04x

P/B

29.13x

EV / EBITDA

15.73x

HD trades at 23.7x trailing earnings (about 24.9x on estimated forward earnings), 2.0x sales, and 29.1x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 5.0% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a fairly typical valuation for a profitable company.

Metrics vs. Typical Range

Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.

TTM P/E
23.7xFair
Forward P/E
24.9xExpensive
P/S ratio
2.0xFair
Revenue growth
2.2%Weak
EPS growth
-4.5%Weak
Gross margin
33.3%Weak
Net margin
8.4%Average
ROE
113.3%Strong

Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How HD stacks up against its Consumer Discretionary peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector (48 S&P 500 companies), HD ranks #32 of 48 by our overall rating. It trades at roughly in line versus the sector on earnings (23.7x P/E vs. 23.7x median) with a higher return on equity (113.3% vs. 39.2%) and slower revenue growth (2.2% vs. 6.2%).

P/E vs sector

23.7x

median 23.7x

ROE vs sector

113.3%

median 39.2%

Growth vs sector

2.2%

median 6.2%

Sector rank

#32

of 48 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
HDThis stock23.7x2.2%Neutral· 45
LOW18.7x6.2%Neutral· 50
MCD22.8x6.8%Favorable· 64
TJX31.3x8.1%Favorable· 58
BKNG21.6x14.9%Favorable· 68
SBUX76x5.8%Weak· 29
MAR40.3x4.7%Weak· 38
ABNB33.6x12.6%Favorable· 66
Consumer Discretionary median23.7x6.2%54/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianLOWMCDTJXBKNGSBUXMARABNBHDP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Consumer Discretionary companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 48 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$241.25$413.56

vs. $326.62 today · expected CAGR -6%5%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$169.62B$174.71B$179.95B$185.35B$190.91B
Net income$15.27B$15.72B$16.20B$16.68B$17.18B
EPS$15.31$15.77$16.24$16.73$17.23
Share price (low)$214.34$220.77$227.40$234.22$241.25
Share price (high)$367.45$378.47$389.82$401.52$413.56
CAGR (low–high)-34% / 12%-18% / 8%-11% / 6%-8% / 5%-6% / 5%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for HD:

  • Strong return on equity (113.3%) shows capital is put to work well.
  • Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~5.5%) funds buybacks and dividends.
  • Pays a 2.8% dividend on top of any price gains.
Bear Case

The case against HD:

  • Revenue growth is slow (2.2%), limiting the upside engine.
  • Elevated leverage (debt/equity 4.4x) adds financial risk.
Key Risks
Research

Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 4.4x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.

Growth risk — sluggish revenue (2.2%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the picture is mixed: Home Depot (The) is a mega-cap consumer discretionary business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 23.7x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (45/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.