TSCO
Tractor Supply
$29.81
▼ 1.4%Updated Today 7:15 PM ET
▼ Down 41.9% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$15.86B
P/E
14.51x
Forward P/E (est.)
14.33x
ROE
42.6%
Revenue Growth
4.6%
EPS Growth
1.2%
Profit Margin
6.9%
FCF Yield
—
Debt / Equity
0.7x
ROIC
44.0%
Interest Coverage
21.22x
Current Ratio
1.38x
Dividend Yield
3.1%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
4.1%
Rating Score
54/100
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what TSCO's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. TSCO trades near $29.81, below its 50-day average ($34.12) and 200-day average ($48.31). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 41 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. TSCO's is $1.07 (~3.6% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month TSCO found buyers near $28.36 (support) and sellers near $31.87 (resistance); its 52-week range is $28.36–$63.99. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 1.8× the 20-day average — heavier than usual, which adds conviction to the move. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
Tractor Supply (TSCO) is a large-cap company in the Other Specialty Retail industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $15.86B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $15.52B in revenue and $1.10B in net profit.
Our model rates TSCO Neutral (54/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
4Y CAGR
5.1%
Revenue moved from $12.73B in 2021 to $15.52B in 2025, a 5.1% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly flat (4.6%) year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Gross Margin
36.4%
Operating Margin
9.5%
Net Margin
7.1%
ROE
42.6%
Tractor Supply keeps about 6.9% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 36.4% gross margin and 9.5% operating margin. Return on equity is 42.6% and return on invested capital about 44.0%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.
Total Debt
$150.00M
Net Debt
-$74.27M
Net cash position
Net Debt / EBITDA
-0.05x
Debt / Equity
0.7x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.7x, and operating profit covers interest about 21.2x, with a current ratio of 1.4x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $150.00M of total debt against $224.27M of cash.
Operating CF
$1.64B
Free Cash Flow
$740.49M
FCF Margin
4.8%
In the latest year Tractor Supply produced about $1.64B of operating cash flow and $740.49M of free cash flow after capital spending. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
P/E
14.51x
P/S
1.01x
P/B
10.41x
EV / EBITDA
8.04x
TSCO trades at 14.5x trailing earnings (about 14.3x on estimated forward earnings), 1.0x sales, and 10.4x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 4.1% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is an undemanding multiple — potentially cheap if the business is stable.
Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.
Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.
How TSCO stacks up against its Consumer Discretionary peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Consumer Discretionary sector (48 S&P 500 companies), TSCO ranks #26 of 48 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (14.5x P/E vs. 23.7x median) with a higher return on equity (42.6% vs. 39.2%) and slower revenue growth (4.6% vs. 6.2%).
P/E vs sector
14.5x
median 23.7x
ROE vs sector
42.6%
median 39.2%
Growth vs sector
4.6%
median 6.2%
Sector rank
#26
of 48 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Consumer Discretionary companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 48 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$23.80 – $39.67
vs. $29.81 today · expected CAGR -4% – 6%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $16.30B | $17.12B | $17.97B | $18.87B | $19.81B |
| Net income | $1.14B | $1.20B | $1.26B | $1.32B | $1.39B |
| EPS | $2.18 | $2.28 | $2.40 | $2.52 | $2.64 |
| Share price (low) | $19.58 | $20.56 | $21.59 | $22.67 | $23.80 |
| Share price (high) | $32.63 | $34.27 | $35.98 | $37.78 | $39.67 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -34% / 9% | -17% / 7% | -10% / 6% | -7% / 6% | -4% / 6% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for TSCO:
- Strong return on equity (42.6%) shows capital is put to work well.
- Pays a 3.1% dividend on top of any price gains.
The case against TSCO:
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: Tractor Supply is a large-cap consumer discretionary business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 14.5x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (54/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.