BURL
Burlington Stores Inc
$309.90
▼ 1.0%Updated Today 12:11 PM ET
BURL at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Neutral · 52/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▲ Up 25.4% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$19.71B
P/E
31.59x
Forward P/E (est.)
26.45x
ROE
37.7%
Revenue Growth
10.6%
EPS Growth
19.4%
Profit Margin
5.2%
FCF Yield
2.9%
Debt / Equity
1.15x
ROIC
—
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
1.16x
Dividend Yield
—
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
8.1%
Rating Score
52/100
Burlington Stores Inc (BURL) is a large-cap company in the Retail industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $19.71B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $11.55B in revenue and $610.15M in net profit.
Our model rates BURL Neutral (52/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what BURL's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. BURL trades near $309.90, around its 50-day average ($317.67) and 200-day average ($297.96). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 28 it is oversold — selling has been heavy and a bounce is possible.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. BURL's is $11.23 (~3.6% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month BURL found buyers near $305.26 (support) and sellers near $349.64 (resistance); its 52-week range is $240.49–$351.85. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.2× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
5.5%
Revenue moved from $5.57B in 2017 to $11.55B in 2026, a 8.4% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a steady 10.6% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.
Gross Margin
44.0%
Operating Margin
7.1%
Net Margin
5.3%
ROE
37.7%
Burlington Stores Inc keeps about 5.2% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 44.0% gross margin and 7.1% operating margin. Return on equity is 37.7%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.
Total Debt
$2.03B
Net Debt
$1.28B
Net Debt / EBITDA
—
Debt / Equity
1.15x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 1.2x, with a current ratio of 1.2x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $2.03B of total debt against $747.36M of cash.
Operating CF
$1.23B
Free Cash Flow
$171.59M
FCF Margin
1.5%
In the latest year Burlington Stores Inc produced about $1.23B of operating cash flow and $171.59M of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 2.9% on today's price. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
P/E
31.59x
P/S
1.7x
P/B
10.4x
EV / EBITDA
—
BURL trades at 31.6x trailing earnings (about 26.5x on estimated forward earnings), 1.7x sales, and 10.4x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 8.1% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a premium multiple that needs growth to justify it.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$67.73
Current price
$309.90
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$171.59M
Growth, years 1–5
10.6%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where BURL sits versus its Consumer Discretionary sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 50 Consumer Discretionary companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How BURL stacks up against its Consumer Discretionary peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Consumer Discretionary sector (92 S&P 500 companies), BURL ranks #22 of 92 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (31.6x P/E vs. 25.4x median) with a higher return on equity (37.7% vs. 24.8%) and faster revenue growth (10.6% vs. 6.2%).
P/E vs sector
31.6x
median 25.4x
ROE vs sector
37.7%
median 24.8%
Growth vs sector
10.6%
median 6.2%
Sector rank
#22
of 92 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Consumer Discretionary companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 92 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $309.90 today · expected CAGR -1% – 10%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $12.82B | $14.23B | $15.80B | $17.53B | $19.46B |
| Net income | $641.00M | $711.51M | $789.78M | $876.66M | $973.09M |
| EPS | $10.18 | $11.30 | $12.55 | $13.93 | $15.46 |
| Share price (low) | $193.50 | $214.78 | $238.41 | $264.63 | $293.74 |
| Share price (high) | $325.89 | $361.74 | $401.53 | $445.69 | $494.72 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -38% / 5% | -17% / 8% | -8% / 9% | -4% / 10% | -1% / 10% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for BURL:
- Revenue is growing 10.6% a year, a sign of real demand.
- Strong return on equity (37.7%) shows capital is put to work well.
The case against BURL:
- Like any single stock, it is exposed to competition, the economic cycle, and shifts in its end markets.
Valuation risk — at 31.6x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.
Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 1.2x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: Burlington Stores Inc is a large-cap consumer discretionary business still growing nicely, with modest profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 31.6x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (52/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
BURL — frequently asked questions
Is BURL a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Burlington Stores Inc Neutral (52/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is BURL's rating on The Stocks School?
Burlington Stores Inc currently scores 52/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does BURL's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Burlington Stores Inc's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for BURL calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this BURL analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell BURL. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.