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GIS

S&P 500
Neutral · 42/100

General Mills

Consumer Staples
Packaged Foods & Meats
Earnings Sep 15

$36.39

0.9%

Updated Today 11:30 AM ET

Report Card

GIS at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.

Value
0
Growth
0
Profitability
0
Health
0
Dividends
0

Overall: Neutral · 42/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.

Price — Past Year

▼ Down 36.9% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageDCF fair value ±15%Source: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$20.05B

P/E

8.77x

Forward P/E (est.)

9.75x

ROE

23.7%

Revenue Growth

-6.5%

EPS Growth

-10.0%

Profit Margin

12.1%

FCF Yield

14.3%

Debt / Equity

1.62x

ROIC

3.0%

Interest Coverage

1.69x

Current Ratio

0.68x

Dividend Yield

7.1%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

0.8%

Rating Score

42/100

Business Overview
Research

General Mills (GIS) is a large-cap company in the Packaged Foods & Meats industry, part of the Consumer Staples sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $20.05B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $18.42B in revenue and posted a net loss of $87.60M.

Our model rates GIS Neutral (42/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Economic Moat

Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).

No moat evidenceMoat evidence score: 43/100

The numbers don't show a durable competitive advantage — margins, growth, or returns on capital have been unstable or thin. Great returns are still possible; they just aren't protected.

Operating margin level19/100

13.0% average over the last 3 years

Operating margin stability54/100

±3.7 pts around 15.5% across 10 years

Revenue durability48/100

grew in 6 of the last 9 year-over-year periods

Free-cash-flow consistency100/100

positive in 10 of 10 years

Return on invested capital0/100

3.0% latest fiscal year

A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what GIS's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. GIS trades near $36.39, around its 50-day average ($34.27) and 200-day average ($42.28). Price tangled in its moving averages means there is no clear trend — the stock is ranging.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 69 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. GIS's is $1.14 (~3.1% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month GIS found buyers near $31.75 (support) and sellers near $38.25 (resistance); its 52-week range is $31.75–$54.18. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 1.1× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

-0.8%

0/4 checks passedRevenue growingRevenue growth beats sector midpointEPS growingEPS growing faster than revenue

Revenue moved from $15.62B in 2017 to $18.42B in 2026, a 1.9% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year declined 6.5% year over year. Shrinking revenue is worth a closer look — is it cyclical or structural?

Profitability
Research
3/4 checks passedProfitableNet margin above sector midpointROE above 12%ROIC above 10%

Gross Margin

33.1%

Operating Margin

4.8%

Net Margin

-0.5%

ROE

23.7%

General Mills keeps about 12.1% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 33.1% gross margin and 4.8% operating margin. Return on equity is 23.7% and return on invested capital about 3.0%. Margins are moderate — typical of a competitive but profitable business.

Debt Analysis
Research
1/4 checks passedDebt under 1× equityDebt under 2× equityInterest covered 3×+Short-term bills covered

Total Debt

$13.47B

Net Debt

$13.02B

Net Debt / EBITDA

14.69x

Debt / Equity

1.62x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 1.6x, and operating profit covers interest about 1.7x, with a current ratio of 0.7x. That is elevated leverage, which raises risk if earnings or rates move against it. It carries roughly $13.47B of total debt against $453.80M of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research
3/3 checks passedPositive free cash flowFCF yield above 2%Market expects achievable growth (<8%)

Operating CF

$2.17B

Free Cash Flow

$1.63B

FCF Margin

8.8%

In the latest year General Mills produced about $2.17B of operating cash flow and $1.63B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 14.3% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.

Dividend Safety

Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.

At RiskSafety score: 33/100

Coverage is weak, the payout was cut recently, or it's being financed rather than earned — treat the current yield as fragile.

Dividend yield

7.1%

Per share (latest FY)

$2.44

Total paid (latest FY)

$1.32B

History on record

3 years

Free-cash-flow coverage32/100

dividend uses 81% of free cash flow

Raise streak0/100

no current raise streak

Cut history100/100

no cuts in the last 3 years on record

Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.

Valuation Analysis
Research
2/4 checks passedPositive earnings (P/E meaningful)P/E below sector's upper bandForward P/E below trailing (earnings growing)Trading below DCF fair value

P/E

8.77x

P/S

0.94x

P/B

3.36x

EV / EBITDA

GIS trades at 8.8x trailing earnings (about 9.7x on estimated forward earnings), 0.9x sales, and 3.4x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 0.8% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is an undemanding multiple — potentially cheap if the business is stable.

DCF Fair Value (Educational)

A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.

DCF fair value / share

$31.27

Current price

$36.39

-14% · Near fair-value estimate

Starting FCF (latest 10-K)

$1.63B

Growth, years 1–5

-5.0%

Fade to terminal, years 6–10

2.5%

Discount rate

9.0%

PV of 10-yr free cash flow$8.52B
PV of terminal value$8.17B
Estimated equity value$16.69B
Shares outstanding534M

Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.

Metrics vs. Sector Range

Where GIS sits versus its Consumer Staples sector peers in the S&P 500.

TTM P/E
8.8xCheap
Forward P/E
9.7xCheap
P/S ratio
0.9xFair
Revenue growth
-6.5%Weak
EPS growth
-10.0%Average
Gross margin
33.1%Average
Net margin
12.1%Average
ROE
23.7%Average

Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 48 Consumer Staples companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How GIS stacks up against its Consumer Staples peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Consumer Staples sector (74 S&P 500 companies), GIS ranks #33 of 74 by our overall rating. It trades at a discount versus the sector on earnings (8.8x P/E vs. 22x median) with a higher return on equity (23.7% vs. 18.1%) and slower revenue growth (-6.5% vs. 3.4%).

P/E vs sector

8.8x

median 22x

ROE vs sector

23.7%

median 18.1%

Growth vs sector

-6.5%

median 3.4%

Sector rank

#33

of 74 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
GISThis stock8.8x-6.5%Neutral· 42
TSN44.8x4.2%Weak· 26
MKC8.7x5.7%Favorable· 71
HRL29.9x2.5%Weak· 39
KHC-1.8%Weak· 30
SJM3.7%Weak· 20
HSY33.9x2.8%Weak· 41
CPB11.5x-2.9%Neutral· 50
Consumer Staples median22x3.4%38/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianTSNMKCHRLHSYCPBGISP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Consumer Staples companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 74 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$0.00 $0.00

vs. $36.39 today · expected CAGR -31%-22%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$18.98B$19.55B$20.13B$20.74B$21.36B
Net income$569.32M$586.40M$603.99M$622.11M$640.77M
EPS$1.03$1.06$1.10$1.13$1.16
Share price (low)$5.17$5.32$5.48$5.65$5.81
Share price (high)$9.30$9.58$9.87$10.16$10.47
CAGR (low–high)-86% / -74%-62% / -49%-47% / -35%-37% / -27%-31% / -22%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for GIS:

  • Strong return on equity (23.7%) shows capital is put to work well.
  • Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~14.3%) funds buybacks and dividends.
  • Pays a 7.1% dividend on top of any price gains.
Bear Case

The case against GIS:

  • Revenue growth is slow/negative (-6.5%), limiting the upside engine.
  • Elevated leverage (debt/equity 1.6x) adds financial risk.
  • Interest coverage is thin (1.7x), so debt costs bite.
Key Risks
Research

Balance-sheet risk — debt/equity of 1.6x magnifies the impact of higher rates or weaker earnings.

Growth risk — sluggish revenue (-6.5%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the picture is mixed: General Mills is a large-cap consumer staples business with shrinking revenue, with solid profitability, and a heavier debt load to watch. It trades at 8.8x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (42/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Analyst Ratings

What 28 Wall Street analysts covering GIS recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.

Hold
consensus · score 2.8 / 5 across 28 analysts
Strong Buy 1Buy 2Hold 16Sell 7Strong Sell 2

Analysts have turned more cautious over the last three months (-3 pts of buy ratings).

Latest SEC Filings

GIS's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.

In the Idea Lab

GIS — frequently asked questions

Is GIS a good stock to buy?

We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates General Mills Neutral (42/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.

What is GIS's rating on The Stocks School?

General Mills currently scores 42/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.

How our ratings work
Where does GIS's data come from?

Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from General Mills's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.

How is the 5-year projection for GIS calculated?

It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.

Is this GIS analysis financial advice?

No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell GIS. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.