TSN
Tyson Foods
$58.40
▼ 0.2%Updated Aug 7, 11:30 AM ET
TSN at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Weak · 26/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▲ Up 2.1% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$20.32B
P/E
44.76x
Forward P/E (est.)
63.94x
ROE
2.5%
Revenue Growth
4.2%
EPS Growth
-50.2%
Profit Margin
0.8%
FCF Yield
3.4%
Debt / Equity
0.49x
ROIC
5.0%
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
1.83x
Dividend Yield
3.6%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
3.0%
Rating Score
26/100
Tyson Foods (TSN) is a large-cap company in the Packaged Foods & Meats industry, part of the Consumer Staples sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $20.32B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $54.44B in revenue and $474.00M in net profit.
Our model rates TSN Weak (26/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).
Some durable-advantage evidence, but not across the board — dig into which ingredient is weak and whether it's cyclical or structural.
6.1% average over the last 3 years
±3.1 pts around 10.8% across 10 years
grew in 8 of the last 9 year-over-year periods
positive in 9 of 10 years
5.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what TSN's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. TSN trades near $58.40, below its 50-day average ($61.90) and 200-day average ($59.47). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 66 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. TSN's is $1.40 (~2.4% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month TSN found buyers near $54.63 (support) and sellers near $59.55 (resistance); its 52-week range is $50.56–$69.48. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.6× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
3.7%
Revenue moved from $36.88B in 2016 to $54.44B in 2025, a 4.4% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year was roughly flat (4.2%) year over year. Slower, mature growth is common for established businesses.
Gross Margin
6.5%
Operating Margin
2.0%
Net Margin
0.9%
ROE
2.5%
Tyson Foods keeps about 0.8% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 6.5% gross margin and 2.0% operating margin. Return on equity is 2.5% and return on invested capital about 5.0%. Thin margins leave less cushion if costs rise.
Total Debt
—
Net Debt
—
Net Debt / EBITDA
—
Debt / Equity
0.49x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.5x, with a current ratio of 1.8x. That is a conservative balance sheet — a cushion in downturns.
Operating CF
$2.15B
Free Cash Flow
$1.18B
FCF Margin
2.2%
In the latest year Tyson Foods produced about $2.15B of operating cash flow and $1.18B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 3.4% on today's price. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
The dividend is being paid, but coverage or consistency is thinner than an income investor should rely on without a closer look.
Dividend yield
3.6%
Total paid (latest FY)
$697.00M
History on record
10 years
dividend uses 59% of free cash flow
147% of net income paid out
total dividends increased 9 years in a row
no cuts in the last 10 years on record
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
P/E
44.76x
P/S
0.37x
P/B
1.08x
EV / EBITDA
—
TSN trades at 44.8x trailing earnings (about 63.9x on estimated forward earnings), 0.4x sales, and 1.1x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 3.0% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a rich multiple that prices in a lot of future growth.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
—
Current price
$58.40
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$1.18B
Growth, years 1–5
4.2%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where TSN sits versus its Consumer Staples sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 48 Consumer Staples companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How TSN stacks up against its Consumer Staples peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Consumer Staples sector (74 S&P 500 companies), TSN ranks #46 of 74 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (44.8x P/E vs. 22x median) with a lower return on equity (2.5% vs. 18.1%) and faster revenue growth (4.2% vs. 3.4%).
P/E vs sector
44.8x
median 22x
ROE vs sector
2.5%
median 18.1%
Growth vs sector
4.2%
median 3.4%
Sector rank
#46
of 74 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Consumer Staples companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 74 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $58.40 today · expected CAGR 21% – 34%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $56.62B | $58.88B | $61.24B | $63.69B | $66.24B |
| Net income | $1.70B | $1.77B | $1.84B | $1.91B | $1.99B |
| EPS | $4.88 | $5.08 | $5.28 | $5.49 | $5.71 |
| Share price (low) | $131.78 | $137.05 | $142.53 | $148.23 | $154.16 |
| Share price (high) | $219.63 | $228.41 | $237.55 | $247.05 | $256.93 |
| CAGR (low–high) | 126% / 276% | 53% / 98% | 35% / 60% | 26% / 43% | 21% / 34% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for TSN:
- A conservative balance sheet (debt/equity 0.5x) lowers risk.
- Pays a 3.6% dividend on top of any price gains.
The case against TSN:
- Thin net margins (0.8%) leave little room for error.
- A rich 44.8x earnings multiple prices in a lot of growth.
- Our model's overall read is Weak (26/100).
Valuation risk — at 44.8x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.
Margin risk — thin profitability (0.8%) is vulnerable to cost or pricing pressure.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen weakly: Tyson Foods is a large-cap consumer staples business growing at a mature pace, with modest profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 44.8x earnings, which our model scores Weak (26/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 19 Wall Street analysts covering TSN recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Analysts have turned more cautious over the last three months (-3 pts of buy ratings).
Latest SEC Filings
TSN's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
TSN — frequently asked questions
Is TSN a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Tyson Foods Weak (26/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is TSN's rating on The Stocks School?
Tyson Foods currently scores 26/100 (Weak) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does TSN's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Tyson Foods's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for TSN calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this TSN analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell TSN. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.