KHC
Kraft Heinz
$25.24
▲ 1.1%Updated Aug 7, 11:30 AM ET
KHC at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Weak · 30/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▼ Down 11.1% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$30.08B
P/E
—
Forward P/E (est.)
—
ROE
-13.9%
Revenue Growth
-1.8%
EPS Growth
—
Profit Margin
-23.1%
FCF Yield
13.4%
Debt / Equity
0.51x
ROIC
-7.0%
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
1.2x
Dividend Yield
6.7%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
-2.8%
Rating Score
30/100
Kraft Heinz (KHC) is a large-cap company in the Packaged Foods & Meats industry, part of the Consumer Staples sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $30.08B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $24.94B in revenue and posted a net loss of $5.85B.
Our model rates KHC Weak (30/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Evidence of durable competitive advantage in the filed financials (10 years of history).
The numbers don't show a durable competitive advantage — margins, growth, or returns on capital have been unstable or thin. Great returns are still possible; they just aren't protected.
33.8% average over the last 3 years
±1.2 pts around 33.7% across 10 years
grew in 4 of the last 9 year-over-year periods
positive in 9 of 10 years
-7.0% latest fiscal year
A moat can't be proven by numbers alone — this scores the evidence a durable advantage leaves behind (pricing power, consistency, returns on capital), computed the same way for every stock. Pair it with the business overview before concluding anything.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what KHC's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. KHC trades near $25.24, above its 50-day average ($23.29) and 200-day average ($23.98). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 58 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. KHC's is $0.67 (~2.7% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month KHC found buyers near $22.00 (support) and sellers near $25.51 (resistance); its 52-week range is $21.03–$29.19. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 1.0× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
-1.1%
Revenue moved from $26.30B in 2016 to $24.94B in 2025, a -0.6% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year declined 1.8% year over year. Shrinking revenue is worth a closer look — is it cyclical or structural?
Gross Margin
33.3%
Operating Margin
-18.7%
Net Margin
-23.4%
ROE
-13.9%
Kraft Heinz keeps about -23.1% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 33.3% gross margin and -18.7% operating margin. Return on equity is -13.9% and return on invested capital about -7.0%. The company is currently unprofitable on a net basis.
Total Debt
$13.64B
Net Debt
$10.33B
Net Debt / EBITDA
—
Debt / Equity
0.51x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.5x, with a current ratio of 1.2x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $13.64B of total debt against $3.31B of cash.
Operating CF
$4.46B
Free Cash Flow
$3.66B
FCF Margin
14.7%
In the latest year Kraft Heinz produced about $4.46B of operating cash flow and $3.66B of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 13.4% on today's price. Strong cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment.
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
Coverage is weak, the payout was cut recently, or it's being financed rather than earned — treat the current yield as fragile.
Dividend yield
6.7%
Per share (latest FY)
$1.60
Total paid (latest FY)
$1.90B
History on record
8 years
dividend uses 52% of free cash flow
no current raise streak
payout was cut at least once in the last 8 years
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
P/E
—
P/S
1.14x
P/B
0.73x
EV / EBITDA
—
KHC trades at n/a trailing earnings, 1.1x sales, and 0.7x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly -2.8% long-term free-cash-flow growth. With no positive trailing earnings, value it on sales, cash flow, or growth rather than P/E.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$38.19
Current price
$25.24
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$3.66B
Growth, years 1–5
-1.8%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where KHC sits versus its Consumer Staples sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 48 Consumer Staples companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How KHC stacks up against its Consumer Staples peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Consumer Staples sector (74 S&P 500 companies), KHC ranks #42 of 74 by our overall rating.
P/E vs sector
—
median 22x
ROE vs sector
-13.9%
median 18.1%
Growth vs sector
-1.8%
median 3.4%
Sector rank
#42
of 74 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Consumer Staples companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 74 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $25.24 today · expected CAGR -19% – -10%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $25.69B | $26.46B | $27.25B | $28.07B | $28.91B |
| Net income | $770.71M | $793.83M | $817.64M | $842.17M | $867.44M |
| EPS | $0.65 | $0.67 | $0.69 | $0.71 | $0.73 |
| Share price (low) | $7.76 | $7.99 | $8.23 | $8.48 | $8.73 |
| Share price (high) | $12.93 | $13.32 | $13.72 | $14.13 | $14.56 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -69% / -49% | -44% / -27% | -31% / -18% | -24% / -13% | -19% / -10% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for KHC:
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield (~13.4%) funds buybacks and dividends.
- Pays a 6.7% dividend on top of any price gains.
The case against KHC:
- Revenue growth is slow/negative (-1.8%), limiting the upside engine.
- Thin net margins (-23.1%) leave little room for error.
- Our model's overall read is Weak (30/100).
Growth risk — sluggish revenue (-1.8%) leaves little margin for execution missteps.
Margin risk — thin profitability (-23.1%) is vulnerable to cost or pricing pressure.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the fundamentals screen weakly: Kraft Heinz is a large-cap consumer staples business with shrinking revenue, with modest profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at n/a earnings, which our model scores Weak (30/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 28 Wall Street analysts covering KHC recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Analysts have turned more positive over the last three months (+4 pts of buy ratings).
Latest SEC Filings
KHC's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
KHC — frequently asked questions
Is KHC a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Kraft Heinz Weak (30/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is KHC's rating on The Stocks School?
Kraft Heinz currently scores 30/100 (Weak) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does KHC's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Kraft Heinz's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for KHC calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this KHC analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell KHC. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.