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PEP

NASDAQ
Neutral· 46

PepsiCo, Inc.

Consumer Defensive
Beverages—Non-Alcoholic

$140.71

0.9%

Updated Today 6:01 PM ET

Price — Past Year

▲ Up 10.0% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageSource: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$194.11B

P/E

22.23x

Forward P/E (est.)

23.76x

ROE

43.9%

Revenue Growth

4.3%

EPS Growth

-6.4%

Profit Margin

9.2%

FCF Yield

5.6%

Debt / Equity

2.41x

ROIC

13.0%

Interest Coverage

10.26x

Current Ratio

0.9x

Dividend Yield

4.0%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

4.9%

Rating Score

46/100

Trade Setup & Technical Analysis

Institutional-style technical read — sample, educational only

Neutral
Confidence score46/100

Downtrend — price ($140.71) is below the 50-day ($150.28) and 200-day ($150.23) averages.

Setup type

Range / mean-reversion

Holding time

1–6 weeks

Risk level

Low

Risk / reward

1 : 3.0

Trade levels

Entry zone

$139.26 – $140.71

Stop loss

$137.80

Target 1

$146.53

Target 2

$150.90

Target 3

$155.26

Position sizing: Standard size; risk ≤ 1.5% of capital.

Technical analysis

RSI(14) is soft (44); the MACD histogram is positive (upward momentum). Downtrend — price ($140.71) is below the 50-day ($150.28) and 200-day ($150.23) averages. ATR(14) is $2.91 (~2.1% of price), which sets the stop distance. Recent support sits near $139.26 and resistance near $150.84; the 52-week range is $127.60–$171.48.

Fundamental analysis

Revenue is stable at 4.3%, net margin near 9.2%, ROE roughly 43.9%; shares trade at 22x earnings. Quality score: 46/100.

Options flow

Live options-flow data needs a paid feed, so it isn't shown. For realized volatility, ATR of $2.91 (~2.1%/day) is the range to size stops and any option strikes around.

Volume analysis

The latest session traded 2.0× the 20-day average volume — above average, confirming participation.

Catalysts

The next quarterly earnings report is the main near-term catalyst. Technically, watch for a break and hold above $150.84 or a loss of $139.26.

Bullish scenario

Frito-Lay snacks dominance adds growth and margin diversification.

Bearish scenario

Volume softness as consumers react to price increases.

Invalidation

A daily close below $137.80 invalidates this setup read.

Probability-based scenario using sample data — not a recommendation or a guarantee of profit. Prioritize capital preservation, use stops, and size positions for risk. Past performance does not predict future results.

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what PEP's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. PEP trades near $140.71, below its 50-day average ($150.28) and 200-day average ($150.23). Price below both averages is a downtrend — momentum is against buyers for now.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 44 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. PEP's is $2.91 (~2.1% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month PEP found buyers near $139.26 (support) and sellers near $150.84 (resistance); its 52-week range is $127.60–$171.48. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 2.0× the 20-day average — heavier than usual, which adds conviction to the move. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Business Overview
Research

PepsiCo's combination of dominant snacks (Frito-Lay) and beverages gives it more category diversification than pure-play peers, with strong pricing power and a long dividend-growth record. Snacks remain the key profit and growth driver.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

4.3%

Revenue grew from $79.47B in 2021 to $93.92B in 2025, a 4.3% CAGR. The most recent year grew about 4.3% year over year, a moderate pace consistent with a mature business.

Profitability
Research

Gross Margin

54.1%

Operating Margin

12.2%

Net Margin

8.8%

ROE

43.9%

Gross margin runs near 54.4% with operating margin around 12.4% and net margin near 9.2%. Return on equity of roughly 43.9% indicates strong capital efficiency, and the margin profile has trended steady over the period shown.

Debt Analysis
Research

Total Debt

$46.35B

Net Debt

$35.88B

Net Debt / EBITDA

3.12x

Debt / Equity

2.41x

Interest-bearing debt is about 18.0% of market capitalization and the debt-to-equity ratio is roughly 2.41x. Leverage is moderate and manageable relative to cash flow.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research

Operating CF

$12.09B

Free Cash Flow

$7.67B

FCF Margin

8.2%

Operating cash flow comfortably exceeds reported net income, and free cash flow yield is around 5.6%. Cash generation is robust and supports buybacks, dividends, and reinvestment.

Valuation Analysis
Research

P/E

22.23x

P/S

2.13x

P/B

9.39x

EV / EBITDA

15.76x

Shares trade at roughly 22x trailing earnings (19x forward), 2.1x sales, and 15x EV/EBITDA. That is a reasonable-to-cheap multiple relative to the broader market. Our internal rating is Neutral.

Metrics vs. Typical Range

Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.

TTM P/E
22.2xFair
Forward P/E
23.8xFair
P/S ratio
2.1xFair
Revenue growth
4.3%Weak
EPS growth
-6.4%Weak
Gross margin
54.1%Strong
Net margin
9.2%Average
ROE
43.9%Strong

Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How PEP stacks up against its Consumer Staples peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Consumer Staples sector (36 S&P 500 companies), PEP ranks #19 of 36 by our overall rating. It trades at roughly in line versus the sector on earnings (22.2x P/E vs. 22.5x median) with a higher return on equity (43.9% vs. 20.2%) and faster revenue growth (4.3% vs. 3.0%).

P/E vs sector

22.2x

median 22.5x

ROE vs sector

43.9%

median 20.2%

Growth vs sector

4.3%

median 3.0%

Sector rank

#19

of 36 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
PEPThis stock22.2x4.3%Neutral· 46
KO25.1x5.1%Favorable· 64
PM24.8x8.1%Favorable· 68
MO14.3x-1.1%Neutral· 57
PG21x3.3%Favorable· 63
MNST43.9x18.1%Favorable· 69
COST48x9.2%Neutral· 47
MDLZ29.2x7.8%Weak· 40
Consumer Staples median22.5x3.0%47/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianKOPMMOPGMNSTCOSTMDLZPEPP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Consumer Staples companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 36 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$97.82$165.55

vs. $140.71 today · expected CAGR -7%3%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$97.68B$101.59B$105.65B$109.88B$114.27B
Net income$8.79B$9.14B$9.51B$9.89B$10.28B
EPS$6.43$6.69$6.96$7.24$7.52
Share price (low)$83.62$86.96$90.44$94.06$97.82
Share price (high)$141.51$147.17$153.06$159.18$165.55
CAGR (low–high)-41% / 1%-21% / 2%-14% / 3%-10% / 3%-7% / 3%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case
  • Frito-Lay snacks dominance adds growth and margin diversification.
  • Pricing power and global scale support steady earnings.
  • Reliable dividend growth and defensive demand.
Bear Case
  • Volume softness as consumers react to price increases.
  • GLP-1/health trends pose a long-term snacking question.
  • Elevated leverage versus peers.
Key Risks
Research
  • Health and weight-loss-drug demand shifts.
  • Input-cost and FX pressure.
  • Volume elasticity from pricing.
Final Investment Thesis
Research

PepsiCo is a diversified staples compounder for income and stability, with snacks as the swing factor to monitor.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.