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CASY

S&P 500
Neutral · 48/100

Casey's

Consumer Staples
Food Retail

$831.67

1.3%

Updated Today 7:15 PM ET

Price — Past Year

▲ Up 66.4% over the last 12 months

Price 50-day average 200-day averageSource: Yahoo Finance · refreshed daily
Key Metrics

Market Cap

$31.13B

P/E

44.08x

Forward P/E (est.)

33.68x

ROE

18.7%

Revenue Growth

10.2%

EPS Growth

30.9%

Profit Margin

4.1%

FCF Yield

2.4%

Debt / Equity

0.62x

ROIC

Interest Coverage

Current Ratio

1.04x

Dividend Yield

0.3%

Implied Growth (rev. DCF)

7.0%

Rating Score

48/100

Technical Analysis (Educational)
Research

Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what CASY's chart says today, with each tool explained.

Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. CASY trades near $831.67, above its 50-day average ($810.74) and 200-day average ($649.01). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.

Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 61 it is in neutral territory — neither stretched nor washed out.

MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently positive — short-term momentum is improving.

Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. CASY's is $37.39 (~4.5% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.

Support & resistance. Over the last month CASY found buyers near $739.18 (support) and sellers near $927.85 (resistance); its 52-week range is $490.00–$927.85. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.

Volume. The latest session traded 0.6× the 20-day average — lighter than usual, so the move carries less conviction. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.

Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.

Business Overview
Research

Casey's (CASY) is a large-cap company in the Food Retail industry, part of the Consumer Staples sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $31.13B.

In its latest reported year it generated about $15.94B in revenue and $546.52M in net profit.

Our model rates CASY Neutral (48/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.

Revenue Growth
Research

4Y CAGR

16.3%

Revenue moved from $8.71B in 2021 to $15.94B in 2025, a 16.3% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a steady 10.2% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.

Profitability
Research

Gross Margin

24.6%

Operating Margin

5.9%

Net Margin

3.4%

ROE

18.7%

Casey's keeps about 4.1% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 24.6% gross margin and 5.9% operating margin. Return on equity is 18.7%. Thin margins leave less cushion if costs rise.

Debt Analysis
Research

Total Debt

$2.41B

Net Debt

$1.94B

Net Debt / EBITDA

Debt / Equity

0.62x

Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.6x, with a current ratio of 1.0x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $2.41B of total debt against $465.02M of cash.

Cash Flow Analysis
Research

Operating CF

$1.09B

Free Cash Flow

$584.63M

FCF Margin

3.7%

In the latest year Casey's produced about $1.09B of operating cash flow and $584.63M of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 2.4% on today's price. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.

Valuation Analysis
Research

P/E

44.08x

P/S

1.84x

P/B

7.48x

EV / EBITDA

CASY trades at 44.1x trailing earnings (about 33.7x on estimated forward earnings), 1.8x sales, and 7.5x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 7.0% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a rich multiple that prices in a lot of future growth.

Metrics vs. Typical Range

Where this stock sits versus what most companies trade at.

TTM P/E
44.1xExpensive
Forward P/E
33.7xExpensive
P/S ratio
1.8xFair
Revenue growth
10.2%Strong
EPS growth
30.9%Strong
Gross margin
24.6%Weak
Net margin
4.1%Weak
ROE
18.7%Strong

Typical ranges are general references (e.g., many stocks trade at ~18–26x earnings), not hard rules. Context only — not investment advice.

Sector Peer Comparison

How CASY stacks up against its Consumer Staples peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.

In the Consumer Staples sector (36 S&P 500 companies), CASY ranks #16 of 36 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (44.1x P/E vs. 22.5x median) with a lower return on equity (18.7% vs. 20.2%) and faster revenue growth (10.2% vs. 3.0%).

P/E vs sector

44.1x

median 22.5x

ROE vs sector

18.7%

median 20.2%

Growth vs sector

10.2%

median 3.0%

Sector rank

#16

of 36 by rating

CompanyP/ERev Gr.Rating
CASYThis stock44.1x10.2%Neutral· 48
KR34.1x0.3%Weak· 27
EL0.3%Weak· 13
KMB16x-16.2%Neutral· 43
KVUE21.2x-0.1%Neutral· 55
HSY32x2.8%Weak· 41
KHC-1.8%Weak· 30
ADM33.3x-3.9%Weak· 33
Consumer Staples median22.5x3.0%47/100

Valuation vs. quality map

sector medianKRKMBKVUEHSYADMCASYP/E — cheaper ←→ pricierROE — more profitable ↑

The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.

Compare side by side

Peers are the closest Consumer Staples companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 36 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.

5-Year Projection Model

Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.

2030 price target (Base Case)

$541.81$916.92

vs. $831.67 today · expected CAGR -8%2%

Metric20262027202820292030
Revenue$17.53B$19.29B$21.22B$23.34B$25.67B
Net income$526.05M$578.65M$636.52M$700.17M$770.19M
EPS$14.23$15.66$17.22$18.94$20.84
Share price (low)$370.07$407.07$447.78$492.56$541.81
Share price (high)$626.27$688.89$757.78$833.56$916.92
CAGR (low–high)-56% / -25%-30% / -9%-19% / -3%-12% / 0%-8% / 2%

Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.

Bull Case

The case for CASY:

  • Revenue is growing 10.2% a year, a sign of real demand.
  • Strong return on equity (18.7%) shows capital is put to work well.
Bear Case

The case against CASY:

  • Thin net margins (4.1%) leave little room for error.
  • A rich 44.1x earnings multiple prices in a lot of growth.
Key Risks
Research

Valuation risk — at 44.1x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.

Margin risk — thin profitability (4.1%) is vulnerable to cost or pricing pressure.

Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.

Investment Thesis
Research

On balance, the picture is mixed: Casey's is a large-cap consumer staples business still growing nicely, with modest profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 44.1x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (48/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.

Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.

Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.