CASY
Casey's
$828.81
▼ 0.4%Updated Aug 7, 11:30 AM ET
CASY at a glance — five pillars scored 0–100 from real filed financials.
Overall: Neutral · 48/100. A wider, greener shape means more pillars look healthy. Dividends scores 0 when a company pays none — that is a choice, not a flaw.
▲ Up 66.4% over the last 12 months
Market Cap
$29.51B
P/E
43.38x
Forward P/E (est.)
33.14x
ROE
18.7%
Revenue Growth
10.2%
EPS Growth
30.9%
Profit Margin
4.1%
FCF Yield
2.4%
Debt / Equity
0.62x
ROIC
—
Interest Coverage
—
Current Ratio
1.01x
Dividend Yield
0.3%
Implied Growth (rev. DCF)
6.4%
Rating Score
48/100
Casey's (CASY) is a large-cap company in the Food Retail industry, part of the Consumer Staples sector of the S&P 500, with a market value around $29.51B.
In its latest reported year it generated about $17.56B in revenue and $714.45M in net profit.
Our model rates CASY Neutral (48/100) on growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation. The summary below is built from its filed financials and current ratios and refreshes automatically.
Technical analysis reads price and volume to judge momentum and timing. It complements the fundamentals above — it does not replace them. Here is what CASY's chart says today, with each tool explained.
Trend — moving averages. A moving average is the average closing price over a window, which smooths out daily noise. CASY trades near $828.81, above its 50-day average ($821.05) and 200-day average ($662.81). Price above both averages, with the shorter one above the longer, is the textbook definition of an uptrend — momentum favours buyers.
Momentum — RSI. The Relative Strength Index runs 0–100 and measures how strong recent gains are versus losses. Above 70 is "overbought", below 30 "oversold". At 17 it is oversold — selling has been heavy and a bounce is possible.
MACD. MACD compares two moving averages to flag shifts in momentum. Its histogram is currently negative — short-term momentum is fading.
Volatility — ATR. Average True Range is the typical daily move. CASY's is $31.38 (~3.8% of price), so swings of about that size each day are normal — handy for setting a stop that isn't too tight.
Support & resistance. Over the last month CASY found buyers near $749.45 (support) and sellers near $927.85 (resistance); its 52-week range is $490.00–$927.85. A decisive break beyond either edge often marks the next move.
Volume. The latest session traded 0.7× the 20-day average — about normal. Rising volume on up-days suggests real buying; on down-days, real selling.
Educational information to help you read a chart — not a recommendation or a forecast. It updates daily as the price and indicators change.
4Y CAGR
7.9%
Revenue moved from $7.51B in 2017 to $17.56B in 2026, a 9.9% compound annual growth rate. The most recent year grew a steady 10.2% year over year. Consistent top-line growth is one sign of healthy demand.
Gross Margin
24.6%
Operating Margin
5.9%
Net Margin
4.1%
ROE
18.7%
Casey's keeps about 4.1% of each sales dollar as net profit, with a 24.6% gross margin and 5.9% operating margin. Return on equity is 18.7%. Thin margins leave less cushion if costs rise.
Total Debt
$2.32B
Net Debt
$1.80B
Net Debt / EBITDA
—
Debt / Equity
0.62x
Leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.6x, with a current ratio of 1.0x. That is a moderate, manageable debt load for most businesses. It carries roughly $2.32B of total debt against $522.99M of cash.
Operating CF
$1.38B
Free Cash Flow
$721.62M
FCF Margin
4.1%
In the latest year Casey's produced about $1.38B of operating cash flow and $721.62M of free cash flow after capital spending. That is a free-cash-flow yield of about 2.4% on today's price. Cash flow is what ultimately pays shareholders, so it is worth tracking over time.
Can the payout survive a bad year? Scored from filed cash flow, earnings coverage, and the raise/cut record.
The payout is comfortably covered by cash the business actually generates, with a raise habit behind it.
Dividend yield
0.3%
Per share (latest FY)
$1.52
Total paid (latest FY)
$83.14M
History on record
10 years
dividend uses 12% of free cash flow
12% of net income paid out
total dividends increased 9 years in a row
no cuts in the last 10 years on record
Coverage uses the latest fiscal year as filed with the SEC; the streak counts total dollars paid (per-share figures can carry split artifacts). Educational information, not income advice.
P/E
43.38x
P/S
1.84x
P/B
7.37x
EV / EBITDA
—
CASY trades at 43.4x trailing earnings (about 33.1x on estimated forward earnings), 1.8x sales, and 7.4x book value. Reverse-engineering today's price implies the market expects roughly 6.4% long-term free-cash-flow growth. That is a rich multiple that prices in a lot of future growth.
A two-stage discounted cash flow on real SEC-filed free cash flow — the intrinsic-value anchor professional analysts triangulate from.
DCF fair value / share
$472.84
Current price
$828.81
Starting FCF (latest 10-K)
$721.62M
Growth, years 1–5
10.2%
Fade to terminal, years 6–10
2.5%
Discount rate
9.0%
Cash flows grow at the stage-1 rate (trailing revenue growth, capped at 20%) for five years, fade to 2.5% by year 10, and continue at that rate forever (Gordon terminal value), all discounted at 9.0%. Small changes in assumptions move the result a lot — treat this as one reference point, not a target price. Educational only, not investment advice.
Where CASY sits versus its Consumer Staples sector peers in the S&P 500.
Bands show the middle half (25th–75th percentile) of the 48 Consumer Staples companies in the S&P 500 — the peer-relative anchor professional comps analysis uses. Context only — not investment advice.
How CASY stacks up against its Consumer Staples peers — valuation, profitability, and growth versus the sector median.
In the Consumer Staples sector (74 S&P 500 companies), CASY ranks #24 of 74 by our overall rating. It trades at a premium versus the sector on earnings (43.4x P/E vs. 22x median) with a higher return on equity (18.7% vs. 18.1%) and faster revenue growth (10.2% vs. 3.4%).
P/E vs sector
43.4x
median 22x
ROE vs sector
18.7%
median 18.1%
Growth vs sector
10.2%
median 3.4%
Sector rank
#24
of 74 by rating
Valuation vs. quality map
The sweet spot is upper-left: more profitable (higher ROE) for a lower P/E. Dashed lines mark the sector median.
Peers are the closest Consumer Staples companies by sub-industry and size. Sector median is across all 74 S&P 500 names in the sector. Educational, not a recommendation.
Project revenue → earnings → price. Edit the assumptions to build your own case.
2030 price target (Base Case)
$0.00 – $0.00
vs. $828.81 today · expected CAGR -0% – 11%
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $19.32B | $21.25B | $23.37B | $25.71B | $28.28B |
| Net income | $772.69M | $849.96M | $934.95M | $1.03B | $1.13B |
| EPS | $21.70 | $23.87 | $26.26 | $28.89 | $31.77 |
| Share price (low) | $564.27 | $620.70 | $682.77 | $751.04 | $826.15 |
| Share price (high) | $933.21 | $1,026.54 | $1,129.19 | $1,242.11 | $1,366.32 |
| CAGR (low–high) | -32% / 13% | -13% / 11% | -6% / 11% | -2% / 11% | -0% / 11% |
Educational model on sample fundamentals — not a forecast or investment advice. Outputs are only as good as your assumptions.
The case for CASY:
- Revenue is growing 10.2% a year, a sign of real demand.
- Strong return on equity (18.7%) shows capital is put to work well.
The case against CASY:
- Thin net margins (4.1%) leave little room for error.
- A rich 43.4x earnings multiple prices in a lot of growth.
Valuation risk — at 43.4x earnings, disappointing results could compress the multiple.
Margin risk — thin profitability (4.1%) is vulnerable to cost or pricing pressure.
Market risk — sector rotation, the economic cycle, and broad sentiment move the stock regardless of fundamentals.
On balance, the picture is mixed: Casey's is a large-cap consumer staples business still growing nicely, with modest profitability, and a sound balance sheet. It trades at 43.4x earnings, which our model scores Neutral (48/100). Weigh this against your own goals and time horizon — this is educational information, not a recommendation.
Analyst Ratings
What 27 Wall Street analysts covering CASY recommend (August 2026). Consensus is a useful sanity check — not a substitute for your own homework.
Analysts have turned more positive over the last three months (+6 pts of buy ratings).
Latest SEC Filings
CASY's most recent filings, straight from SEC EDGAR. Annual and quarterly reports are the deep dives; 8-Ks flag material events the moment they happen.
CASY — frequently asked questions
Is CASY a good stock to buy?
We don't give buy or sell advice. Our model rates Casey's Neutral (48/100) based on its growth, profitability, financial health, and valuation — use that as a research starting point and make your own decision.
What is CASY's rating on The Stocks School?
Casey's currently scores 48/100 (Neutral) on our transparent model, which weighs real fundamentals: growth, margins, returns on capital, balance-sheet strength, and valuation.
How our ratings work →Where does CASY's data come from?
Live price data plus real fundamentals and 5-year financials pulled directly from Casey's's SEC filings — refreshed automatically, not hand-entered.
How is the 5-year projection for CASY calculated?
It's a scenario model: it grows revenue at an assumed rate, applies a profit margin and a valuation multiple, and shows the resulting share-price range. The assumptions are yours to change — it's a tool for thinking, not a prediction.
Is this CASY analysis financial advice?
No. Everything on this page is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell CASY. Always do your own research and consider a licensed professional.
Data notice. Fundamentals and financial statements are sourced from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market-data providers; prices and market caps refresh on trading days and may be delayed. Ratings, projections, technical signals, and written summaries are model- or rule-generated for education and may simplify or lag the latest filings.
Not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.